NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x637a5f495c1592c13f293d96662e54b865a0b3c8f34b7c78c4f26fc6645bc1de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $314,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $341,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $314,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Hawks | 69c | 50,008$34,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,508.27 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bea…2becbacked Hornets | 32c | 40,001$12,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,801.07 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Hornets | 0c | 31,267$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Hornets | 31c | 10,745$3,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,369.54 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Hawks | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Hornets | 22c | 9,765$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.95 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…ef00backed Hornets | 35c | 6,538$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Hornets | 50c | 5,177$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574.92 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Hornets | 33c | 4,379$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.07 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…bb26backed Hornets | 46c | 4,311$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.78 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3586…eecfbacked Hawks | 59c | 4,000$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Hawks | 62c | 3,726$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.94 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Hornets | 28c | 3,494$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.94 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…42f9backed Hawks | 69c | 3,337$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.74 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed Hornets | 54c | 3,327$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.27 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Hornets | 24c | 3,249$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.82 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…e082backed Hornets | 1c | 3,161$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hornets | 22c | 2,811$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.02 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Hornets | 38c | 2,605$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Hawks | 72c | 2,549$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.72 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Hawks | 72c | 2,536$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.98 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…97c1backed Hornets | 40c | 2,463$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624f…2fa6backed Hawks | 49c | 2,360$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.23 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Hornets | 22c | 2,330$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.7 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e6…cc3abacked Hawks | 61c | 2,203$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.02 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Hawks | 67c | 2,004$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.28 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Hornets | 34c | 1,978$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.51 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Hawks | 63c | 1,966$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.76 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Hawks | 70c | 1,788$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.32 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f82…d8c7backed Hawks | 61c | 1,667$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.59 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Hornets | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Hawks | 62c | 1,491$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.75 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Hawks | 67c | 1,490$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.56 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Hornets | 32c | 1,475$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.99 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Hornets | 33c | 1,458$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.19 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfca6…53e2backed Hawks | 68c | 1,455$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…b6ccbacked Hawks | 67c | 1,393$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.72 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Hornets | 37c | 1,291$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.82 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Hawks | 62c | 1,288$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.69 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb88d…291abacked Hawks | 68c | 1,185$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.2 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d1…f6c4backed Hornets | 1c | 1,152$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hawks | 64c | 1,133$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.64 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe08c…aa3bbacked Hawks | 80c | 1,129$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Hornets | 37c | 1,071$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.37 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Hornets | 37c | 1,040$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.2 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…8897backed Hawks | 61c | 1,007$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa441…dedebacked Hornets | 32c | 999.96$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hornets | 32c | 999.91$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.97 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Hornets | 37c | 999.9$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.96 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…9efcbacked Hornets | 33c | 950.94$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.81 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Hawks | 56c | 889.29$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.29 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…0230backed Hawks | 56c | 885.15$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.88 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Hornets | 2c | 882.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…141ebacked Hornets | 7c | 828.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…5fa4backed Hornets | 33c | 818.56$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Hornets | 32c | 798.3$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.08 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Hawks | 64c | 764.95$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.38 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked Hawks | 66c | 695.48$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.19 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Hawks | 67c | 650.74$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.75 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef3b…5cefbacked Hawks | 61c | 650.19$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.6 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hawks | 47c | 637.66$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.96 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a30…1067backed Hornets | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbc…cd27backed Hawks | 66c | 600$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ea…3ab2backed Hawks | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…4bb7backed Hornets | 34c | 594.12$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Hornets | 27c | 569.14$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Hawks | 66c | 567.92$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.09 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Hawks | 50c | 504.27$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.14 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e7…a536backed Hornets | 40c | 498.69$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.49 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hawks | 60c | 483.48$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.39 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2a…9146backed Hornets | 33c | 454$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.82 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Hornets | 4c | 444$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Hawks | 61c | 422.72$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.68 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Hornets | 35c | 417.14$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Hornets | 37c | 410.3$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.25 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64dd…1199backed Hornets | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Hornets | 31c | 399.26$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.77 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Hawks | 62c | 398.16$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.3 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Hawks | 62c | 397.43$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.32 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Hornets | 28c | 388.88$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6d…81c2backed Hornets | 33c | 383$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.34 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Hawks | 58c | 362.5$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Hawks | 60c | 350$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581c…7f94backed Hornets | 14c | 350$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953c…9034backed Hornets | 32c | 335.39$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.7 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc00…57f5backed Hornets | 37c | 324.78$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x937b…833fbacked Hawks | 65c | 320.65$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Hornets | 41c | 319.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.01 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Hawks | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8e…aaf5backed Hawks | 64c | 310.97$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…a3e2backed Hawks | 68c | 301.47$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.47 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Hawks | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed Hawks | 58c | 300$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79aa…62f9backed Hawks | 68c | 280.88$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.88 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Hornets | 30c | 279.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.44 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Hawks | 58c | 268.87$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.41 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Hornets | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7b…a592backed Hawks | 70c | 242.86$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa871…37c6backed Hornets | 38c | 236.84$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.