NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d3536a4d1ace71ce10a9301c954e2a6fe3f85fad3b1adca20a91807c93b3c99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Heat, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $309,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $335,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $309,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 257 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Celtics | 78c | 36,749$28,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,034.46 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Heat | 21c | 26,532$5,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,532.12 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heat | 15c | 13,075$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.41 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Celtics | 79c | 10,791$8,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.32 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Heat | 22c | 8,721$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.6 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Heat | 26c | 8,656$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.7 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Heat | 15c | 7,583$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.54 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Celtics | 80c | 7,313$5,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.61 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Heat | 21c | 7,019$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.16 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Heat | 23c | 6,598$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.44 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2680…7fb0backed Heat | 20c | 6,318$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Heat | 22c | 4,714$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.6 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…e082backed Heat | 1c | 4,300$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Heat | 22c | 3,969$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.48 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Celtics | 77c | 3,924$3,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.17 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Heat | 22c | 3,909$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.18 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7782…5239backed Celtics | 80c | 3,600$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bea…2becbacked Celtics | 78c | 3,572$2,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.76 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Heat | 8c | 3,096$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.78 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Heat | 12c | 3,000$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.61 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0860…8d05backed Celtics | 77c | 2,948$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Heat | 23c | 2,800$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.99 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Heat | 1c | 2,704$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Heat | 1c | 2,600$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9912…3b3fbacked Celtics | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026a…2f8abacked Heat | 17c | 2,439$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.45 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Celtics | 77c | 2,411$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.46 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Heat | 21c | 2,267$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.29 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6e…784ebacked Heat | 2c | 2,239$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1647…2187backed Heat | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…d704backed Celtics | 77c | 2,056$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x779d…87e8backed Heat | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Celtics | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Celtics | 77c | 1,970$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.63 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…bdf5backed Celtics | 76c | 1,907$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…fcbabacked Heat | 22c | 1,900$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca01…c62fbacked Celtics | 79c | 1,900$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Heat | 5c | 1,673$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.25 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb5…f2a5backed Celtics | 78c | 1,606$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.41 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…1cc5backed Heat | 26c | 1,606$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.56 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Heat | 18c | 1,500$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…1df5backed Heat | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Heat | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb783…c20cbacked Celtics | 76c | 1,453$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.63 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…ed0ebacked Heat | 5c | 1,300$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Celtics | 78c | 1,269$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.22 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e44…79c9backed Heat | 18c | 1,263$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.4 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Heat | 3c | 1,252$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Heat | 6c | 1,213$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.14 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Heat | 19c | 1,136$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.23 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Celtics | 78c | 1,062$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.74 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Heat | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Heat | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.33 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Celtics | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Heat | 15c | 968.15$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.22 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e17…779abacked Celtics | 78c | 963.15$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.7 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Heat | 24c | 953.01$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.72 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Heat | 8c | 920$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83da…41f7backed Heat | 24c | 841.67$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f2…fdbabacked Heat | 23c | 827.13$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…a99dbacked Heat | 19c | 825.96$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Celtics | 11c | 721.94$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.53 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…17f9backed Heat | 21c | 714.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Celtics | 76c | 700$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked Heat | 20c | 700$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Celtics | 80c | 700$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bf…b25ebacked Heat | 24c | 659.97$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d2…7d97backed Celtics | 76c | 652.5$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f7…0fb5backed Heat | 16c | 643.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Celtics | 77c | 638.61$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.88 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Celtics | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 501 | 44.7%224 W · 277 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Celtics | 78c | 600.01$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Heat | 17c | 599.12$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Heat | 7c | 550$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 276 | 42%116 W · 160 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…3bffbacked Heat | 12c | 549.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Heat | 21c | 532.01$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.56 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bf…cd05backed Heat | 21c | 528.48$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Heat | 22c | 523.41$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.95 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Celtics | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Celtics | 79c | 475.34$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.32 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Celtics | 79c | 470$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…d190backed Heat | 20c | 453.71$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.74 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e2…d496backed Heat | 20c | 450$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…e1bfbacked Heat | 20c | 443.76$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Heat | 18c | 431.4$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.89 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Heat | 24c | 422.75$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.46 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Heat | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…88c3backed Celtics | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Heat | 22c | 399.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Celtics | 77c | 390.43$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.8 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -14.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39bd…1027backed Heat | 20c | 376.54$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.31 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…44c6backed Heat | 24c | 362.5$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Heat | 5c | 325.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…500fbacked Heat | 11c | 308.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Heat | 6c | 305$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…3012backed Celtics | 80c | 303.75$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…4f6dbacked Celtics | 80c | 300.04$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.01 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Heat | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Heat | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Celtics | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.