Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65d176d3fb0cf1fe2878976b1eb3407b48f9e3a8711d6b7e5f8b004a32706815
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $276,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $353,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $276,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 324 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 47c | 40,720$19,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,061.3 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 53c | 28,215$14,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,254.29 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Yes | 53c | 21,912$11,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,298.69 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fb…239abacked Yes | 53c | 19,944$10,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,373.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 54c | 18,370$9,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,422.6 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 47c | 16,770$7,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,889.55 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 54c | 16,165$8,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,465.33 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 47c | 10,000$4,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,729.94 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 48c | 8,060$3,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,868.03 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 47c | 8,037$3,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,801.53 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 47c | 6,642$3,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,098.48 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed No | 46c | 6,500$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,989.99 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 47c | 5,850$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720.24 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed No | 1c | 5,736$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc7…b6e4backed Yes | 52c | 4,474$2,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…8d67backed Yes | 52c | 3,925$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.82 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…c420backed No | 49c | 3,916$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 32c | 3,871$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.77 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 36c | 3,651$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.11 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 54c | 3,333$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed No | 48c | 2,844$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.67 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 46c | 2,533$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.11 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…423fbacked Yes | 75c | 2,304$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.11 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Yes | 52c | 2,223$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 53c | 2,211$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.75 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…bdf1backed Yes | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87cf…25a4backed Yes | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 47c | 1,685$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.99 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc495…e40cbacked Yes | 52c | 1,531$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.94 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 47c | 1,435$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.72 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b05…7535backed No | 46c | 1,373$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Yes | 80c | 1,264$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.65 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Yes | 51c | 1,111$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.39 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Yes | 54c | 1,065$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.66 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…d737backed Yes | 58c | 1,011$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.85 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3368…f2eabacked Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x771b…932cbacked No | 48c | 999.96$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Yes | 54c | 950.35$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.16 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 54c | 930.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.4 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 51c | 835.69$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.94 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 74c | 744.54$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.54 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 46c | 679.96$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.07 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Yes | 51c | 587$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.63 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 54c | 552.25$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.25 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked No | 47c | 530$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.1 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Yes | 51c | 499.98$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…fe0fbacked Yes | 54c | 495.23$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.74 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…a548backed Yes | 70c | 475.48$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 22c | 461.49$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.14 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf585…f019backed Yes | 52c | 459.62$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 46c | 455$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.3 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fa…4d49backed Yes | 53c | 444.07$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.37 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Yes | 52c | 437.66$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.08 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 45c | 413$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.85 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 46c | 395$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.7 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadff…e3f3backed Yes | 54c | 371.91$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.08 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ee…d474backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 77c | 359.23$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.17 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…9ce3backed Yes | 53c | 356.91$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.07 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 21c | 306.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.75 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d2…8e76backed No | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aaa…73eabacked No | 47c | 298$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ef…3781backed No | 47c | 296$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb6…9150backed No | 47c | 296$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd59…3582backed No | 47c | 294$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16f…7293backed No | 47c | 292$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523b…2489backed No | 47c | 291$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…136abacked Yes | 53c | 290.64$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6f…6434backed No | 47c | 287$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…0acfbacked No | 47c | 287$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…d7d4backed No | 47c | 283$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8edb…d124backed No | 47c | 282$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca33…b22bbacked No | 47c | 281$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e7…1d4cbacked No | 47c | 281$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a4…7288backed No | 47c | 280$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 51c | 280$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.2 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc3…3027backed No | 47c | 277$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f96…ed4abacked No | 47c | 276$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…296dbacked No | 47c | 276$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c65…7683backed No | 47c | 274$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba4c…eceabacked No | 47c | 273$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ddf…f3e2backed No | 47c | 272$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de9…544ebacked No | 47c | 271$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9336…2d89backed No | 47c | 270$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054a…cd43backed No | 47c | 270$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3403…c25ebacked No | 47c | 268$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3049…d596backed No | 47c | 266$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd6…6a2ebacked No | 47c | 264$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-16?this page
- Will Leicester vs. Manchester United end in a draw?No won
- Will Leicester win on 2025-03-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.