Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester win on 2025-03-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x609215d4ba2dd128ed4fd662ffe76cecb8c595ff0f8d100c996685886ff333c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $187,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $186,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ef4…292cbacked No | 78c | 143,000$111,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,460 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x599d…7725backed Yes | 22c | 143,000$31,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,460 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 23c | 9,061$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.93 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 3c | 9,037$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.14 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 8c | 2,104$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.87 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed No | 79c | 1,684$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.35 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 77c | 1,580$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.4 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc495…e40cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,405$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,402$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.36 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 21c | 1,387$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.37 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 77c | 1,369$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.95 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5a61backed No | 80c | 1,132$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fec…62f0backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…323cbacked No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba7c…a3cbbacked No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf09…651fbacked Yes | 22c | 999.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 77c | 857.79$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.29 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 4c | 855$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 20c | 827.86$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.57 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 78c | 700$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 22c | 560.98$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.39 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Yes | 21c | 511.52$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.42 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…160fbacked Yes | 22c | 509.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…432ebacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8269…e438backed Yes | 22c | 404.78$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…c378backed No | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 77c | 333$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.59 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…b5cbbacked No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f9…6d62backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed No | 78c | 244.6$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.81 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -7.2wins | -0.21per pick | 66cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 78c | 234.29$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.54 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74cf…8833backed Yes | 22c | 233.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…15b0backed Yes | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…e4d2backed No | 78c | 139.1$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…4bf3backed No | 79c | 130.38$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe019…018bbacked Yes | 22c | 120.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc57d…12b5backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bb…8e9abacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…f560backed No | 78c | 87.26$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7e…d8a2backed Yes | 23c | 82.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf0…5c64backed No | 78c | 80.72$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 76cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 78c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a05…7afdbacked No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 22c | 55.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Yes | 21c | 54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc167…4056backed No | 78c | 53.65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…20abbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0516…dbc2backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6173…4258backed Yes | 22c | 49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…28ddbacked No | 78c | 48.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9619…ed6abacked No | 78c | 43.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d03fbacked No | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed No | 77c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 77c | 30.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…1240backed No | 78c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e3…dd4fbacked No | 79c | 28.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 80c | 26.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f45…03e0backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…a091backed No | 78c | 20.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9c…f3dabacked No | 78c | 17.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa06d…d337backed No | 78c | 15.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester win on 2025-03-16?this page
- Will Leicester vs. Manchester United end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.