TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$126,597
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$129,757

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,597 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6761…a94fbacked Yes43c30,567$13,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,143.6910650%53 W · 53 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff48…b0ecbacked Yes59c20,003$11,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,799.993237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No50c18,108$9,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,08018950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No41c10,880$4,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,411.3540254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No41c9,253$3,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,459.2314659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bea…2becbacked No61c7,829$4,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,054.221741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccb…0a10backed Yes39c7,747$3,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,021.21361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed No58c4,832$2,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,026.1211657.8%67 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No45c3,783$1,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,093.9322050%110 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No45c2,586$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,427.8532158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes54c1,839$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00039561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb20…a151backed No44c1,796$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.965742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No41c1,688$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.0237841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad89…fe86backed Yes74c1,550$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.56616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-66%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes53c1,500$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80015337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x295f…c182backed Yes41c1,323$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ef8…eff3backed No49c1,245$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.973946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No49c1,200$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61268026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed No43c1,029$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.179037.8%34 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f2e…5b64backed Yes47c1,028$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4881030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes53c1,000$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.4629238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Yes55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5508145.7%37 W · 44 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5107825.6%20 W · 58 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed No41c986.38$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.218362.7%52 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf15e…4a50backed Yes56c952.56$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb783…c20cbacked No46c940.26$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.522100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+75.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb6e…482bbacked Yes45c896.57$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No45c878.66$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.2634643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes53c837.32$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.744939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes2c837.32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.757839.7%31 W · 47 L+15.6wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+437.8%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x0b6a…4873backed No64c819.08$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.082548%12 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x73af…4fc0backed Yes73c806.73$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.91633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-47.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x824d…1271backed Yes51c784.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No43c709.85$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.6124566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x278c…0fbdbacked Yes48c687.5$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b54…b7cbbacked Yes62c641.27$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No45c573.42$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.0829643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa943…a0dabacked Yes56c563.33$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.22633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes35c539.08$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.6828355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa19a…2f33backed Yes57c499.99$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.991723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-62.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No32c452.4$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.2279650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked No43c428.06$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.427968.4%54 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3538…e615backed Yes22c413.62$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5540%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes38c411.99$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.2232736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93b0…69c8backed Yes51c411$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.612035%7 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No48c395.37$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.5966031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58f2…a3e2backed Yes51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002634.6%9 W · 17 L-5.5wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-38.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes26c378.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1cd…185cbacked Yes57c353.86$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…c906backed No44c350.91$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.51450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93b4…2486backed Yes61c333.53$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.485853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05ad…72d7backed Yes55c310$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.55641.1%23 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7705…a627backed No59c304.37$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.791643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes39c294$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.6669772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked No35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.717651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7432…794bbacked Yes53c280$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.411937%44 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29f8…28e5backed No77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x892a…89d8backed No78c256.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+83%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Yes57c250$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.51540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Yes57c244.73$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2717143.3%74 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34d6…8d72backed Yes30c230$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33dc…9661backed Yes49c230$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.92751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0129…53cebacked Yes19c229.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.72634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes45c220.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013336.1%48 W · 85 L-12.7wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No44c210$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.617153.8%92 W · 79 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2873…4ad3backed Yes57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7dc…9908backed Yes55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.58937.1%33 W · 56 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9665…3139backed Yes52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Yes54c200$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.054757.4%27 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9387…ce77backed Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid+14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x830d…f3a9backed Yes52c190.87$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x477d…e691backed Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005848.3%28 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4020…11d1backed Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05ff…b701backed Yes58c173.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0d6…dee7backed Yes42c169.05$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed No42c159.72$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.649756.7%55 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Yes58c152.43$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4112623%29 W · 97 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c02…3690backed Yes52c151.46$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.761442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x85c3…269bbacked No75c145.73$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.734362.8%27 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No44c136$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1646660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes59c135$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6520447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5180…b344backed Yes51c131.61$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.12666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaebb…f184backed Yes54c131.48$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed No48c130$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.636845.7%168 W · 200 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes56c125$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7015636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Yes52c115.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605050%25 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa40e…53ddbacked Yes48c115.17$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555337.7%20 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f1…9878backed Yes42c106.64$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6ef…e2c9backed Yes47c106.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504242.9%18 W · 24 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-19.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x10ae…cb95backed Yes55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-33.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5718232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcac5…463cbacked Yes16c94.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.95742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…9799backed Yes59c94.92$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe824…745dbacked No44c94.91$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Yes54c94.81$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.25036%18 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6980…a328backed Yes32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30258%2 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick25cpaid-56.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6981…8ac5backed Yes58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507441.9%31 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ba1…1703backed Yes58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502317.4%4 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.