Premier League · resolved market
Will Tottenham vs. Fulham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a338c428ba1c38c4a070ec3d57d9ab8cbf04311885cb0e653baf43ffaf08f36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 23c | 2,676$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.97 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 77c | 1,800$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 42c | 1,595$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.33 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 23c | 1,518$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.72 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…f0e7backed Yes | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…1b16backed No | 72c | 1,459$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.77 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…49e5backed Yes | 62c | 642.73$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.73 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 26c | 581.45$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.45 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Yes | 24c | 349.53$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.53 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Yes | 68c | 300$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.63 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Yes | 22c | 253.17$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +344.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked No | 78c | 250$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +40%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Yes | 22c | 250$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2e…5b64backed No | 48c | 223.27$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 77c | 222$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.94 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x166f…c6f4backed Yes | 24c | 207.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda7…fc55backed Yes | 52c | 172.8$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.72 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 76c | 152$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.68 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ce…6d96backed Yes | 51c | 150.25$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.62 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…ebcfbacked No | 79c | 147.61$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.61 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 43c | 134.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x379d…54efbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0795…be42backed Yes | 21c | 99.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked No | 33c | 93.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 77c | 87.55$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.42 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…9908backed Yes | 22c | 70$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed No | 79c | 70$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a58…956fbacked Yes | 57c | 67.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe91d…c392backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f22…a26ebacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 64c | 47.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…88acbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 67c | 33.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea55…2b03backed No | 78c | 30.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…a247backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…2ffdbacked Yes | 62c | 26.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bcfabacked Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…88c3backed No | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tottenham vs. Fulham end in a draw?this page
- Will Fulham win on 2024-12-01?No won
- Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.