Premier League · resolved market
Will Fulham win on 2024-12-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb478dc0a1c9fb5cccdbfd76e9f2c7bbabaa432ca07f75fba3586c9e097fdb14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 70c | 8,358$5,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,487.61 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfafb…68eabacked Yes | 30c | 6,329$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 23c | 2,693$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.4 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 76c | 2,001$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.31 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Yes | 6c | 1,613$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 24c | 1,539$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.74 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 12c | 1,050$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.59 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Yes | 26c | 723.82$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.19 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x278c…0fbdbacked Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6a…4873backed Yes | 31c | 558.06$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 22c | 396.71$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.37 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 24c | 391.64$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 30c | 313.33$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Yes | 26c | 207.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed No | 76c | 204.5$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.23 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…ef00backed No | 73c | 170.39$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 8c | 166$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 77c | 156$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Yes | 28c | 140$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5180…b344backed Yes | 27c | 137.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Yes | 20c | 133.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Yes | 23c | 130.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 76c | 129.5$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 25c | 125.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10c9…c109backed No | 79c | 96.9$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae02…116bbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc848…5ff7backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe800…e861backed No | 78c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7b…a592backed Yes | 22c | 70.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbd…5822backed Yes | 29c | 67.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…79d0backed No | 79c | 62.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes | 26c | 56.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 27c | 52.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf82…4cb5backed Yes | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7220…a3a1backed Yes | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf81c…b112backed No | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 71 | 16.9%12 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x902c…50dcbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…f0e7backed Yes | 52c | 38.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked No | 74c | 27.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…541fbacked No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…3012backed No | 75c | 22.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb3…305dbacked No | 79c | 17.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…7d37backed No | 79c | 16.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b8…06eabacked No | 79c | 16.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…52dbbacked No | 78c | 16.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 75cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 74c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5589…a2c7backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x554a…09c8backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85c…e1f2backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd5…c59bbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…722fbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 78cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5b…9e37backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 80cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1f…30a5backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 79cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8292…056abacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd332…f85dbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…3e5fbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…59b9backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 73cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x918e…29e8backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fulham win on 2024-12-01?this page
- Will Tottenham vs. Fulham end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.