Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6aaee11bbe1b2c44ce3ef9de097489f1ec08ac676a41e9b68de00b77d7d8b5f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 43c | 3,000$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.84 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 72c | 2,215$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.75 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 1c | 2,167$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 49c | 2,030$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 56c | 1,754$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Yes | 28c | 1,700$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 62c | 1,699$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.02 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfe…cb69backed Yes | 43c | 1,306$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 56c | 1,305$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.23 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 73c | 1,197$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.56 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf784…f897backed Yes | 47c | 1,132$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 58c | 999.89$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.95 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 57c | 917.17$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.38 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed No | 57c | 839.29$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.11 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed Yes | 33c | 777$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.41 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 59c | 751.3$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 60c | 750$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 50c | 717.59$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.98 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 37c | 673.04$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.02 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3483…cdabbacked Yes | 35c | 593.15$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…1036backed Yes | 44c | 579.75$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.09 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Yes | 41c | 544.67$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.05 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No | 60c | 519$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.6 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked No | 56c | 415.34$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.75 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 57c | 360.28$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.42 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…4e7abacked Yes | 42c | 352.4$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2a…9146backed Yes | 46c | 338$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.48 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…a079backed No | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Yes | 10c | 300$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…7bd8backed Yes | 41c | 264.89$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.6 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 60c | 234$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 58c | 222.97$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.69 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Yes | 42c | 217.69$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.43 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 58c | 180.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.33 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 58c | 148.2$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…2567backed No | 59c | 129$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd64c…1a7cbacked Yes | 41c | 129$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…c8b3backed No | 58c | 125$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b8…e838backed Yes | 42c | 125$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f2…d508backed No | 59c | 123.01$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8224…e47fbacked Yes | 41c | 123$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb44a…8e18backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…92cfbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…49e5backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…9908backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed Yes | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…824cbacked No | 60c | 84.19$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c88…6871backed No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd7…ac41backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11e9…149abacked No | 59c | 71.7$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de0…dbdabacked No | 59c | 70.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…88b9backed No | 59c | 69.41$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64eb…6237backed Yes | 40c | 68.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +66%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79e2…31b2backed Yes | 39c | 67.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…e9e1backed Yes | 42c | 67.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c02…3690backed Yes | 48c | 61.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe763…3d69backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c98…8972backed Yes | 41c | 59.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa603…308fbacked No | 59c | 58.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c6…d9f1backed Yes | 41c | 57.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8267…5346backed Yes | 44c | 57.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x096e…8a38backed Yes | 44c | 55.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b96…f366backed No | 57c | 54.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbce…98cbbacked Yes | 39c | 54.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…4b15backed No | 60c | 53.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42e5…4e33backed Yes | 39c | 50.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…96e1backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…bfb9backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa634…199dbacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…f868backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c35…8309backed Yes | 40c | 47.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…b027backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c0…9b9bbacked No | 59c | 45.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…d4adbacked Yes | 41c | 43.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9832…152fbacked No | 58c | 42.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x400c…8afebacked Yes | 41c | 41.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c53…4e58backed Yes | 42c | 40.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…35debacked Yes | 41c | 39.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c2…e923backed Yes | 41c | 39.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1131…d949backed No | 61c | 38.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb015…39c5backed Yes | 38c | 38.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdd…0d84backed No | 62c | 38.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…bccdbacked Yes | 41c | 38.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…93f4backed No | 60c | 38.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd156…fc77backed No | 59c | 38.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7be6…0530backed Yes | 41c | 38.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb761…abe5backed Yes | 42c | 38.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…9db5backed No | 58c | 38.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…5b48backed No | 59c | 37.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…044ebacked Yes | 39c | 37.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5591…49c5backed No | 61c | 37.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94ce…959abacked Yes | 41c | 37.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-07?this page
- Will Brentford vs. Newcastle end in a draw?No won
- Will Brentford win on 2024-12-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.