Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford win on 2024-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25ff2e6566b828d6842537ec0236f2c326db19ad085251b472565c62143e0a1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa12b…bbf5backed Yes | 65c | 2,153$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 35c | 2,022$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.96 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked No | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 34c | 1,419$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.33 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Yes | 53c | 1,244$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.8 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked No | 65c | 999.97$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.98 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 28c | 829$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.12 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 70c | 717.66$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Yes | 32c | 700$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked No | 68c | 700$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 66c | 570.56$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.57 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddfa…f9dfbacked Yes | 34c | 512.29$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Yes | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 39c | 491.98$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.78 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 65c | 474.57$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.97 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 66c | 410$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.79 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed No | 65c | 400$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Yes | 35c | 372.63$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.63 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 66c | 361.63$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.39 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 66c | 351.99$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.31 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 69c | 324.19$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.69 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 73c | 317.26$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.66 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Yes | 73c | 202.74$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 31c | 198.75$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.14 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 66c | 173.53$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.13 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b5…4b18backed No | 66c | 160$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f8…5111backed Yes | 34c | 160$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…d498backed No | 67c | 149.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945f…c89bbacked Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10d…becebacked No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b74…a4f4backed Yes | 34c | 130.46$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f03…f8aebacked No | 68c | 126$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e8…0a6fbacked Yes | 32c | 126$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 78c | 121.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 34c | 108.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 67c | 105$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45f…6c80backed Yes | 32c | 101$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34a…2866backed No | 68c | 101$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.54 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…3792backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 38cpaid | +169%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6274…1823backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +161.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…033abacked No | 67c | 92.93$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 66c | 92.28$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd00…e43ebacked Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…90f4backed Yes | 33c | 74.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1e…cdb6backed Yes | 34c | 67.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…998dbacked Yes | 34c | 67.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…b09ebacked Yes | 34c | 54.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520f…9076backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3115…fc51backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +289.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 67c | 45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5272…f0afbacked Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 46c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked Yes | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2450…13b4backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602c…7da0backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b6…61c0backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc5…817ebacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd9…e0c8backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford win on 2024-12-07?this page
- Will Brentford vs. Newcastle end in a draw?No won
- Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.