Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d6af2454c799de67232dcd3e06ba217fe49424e2cfbe67a7b5ca31779e20247
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 72c | 7,000$5,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,070 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…5a05backed Yes | 73c | 5,628$4,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,108.26 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 27c | 4,610$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,365.08 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…2427backed No | 26c | 4,398$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,254.57 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x267e…6058backed Yes | 74c | 3,682$2,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,724.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed No | 28c | 3,500$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 28c | 3,050$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.98 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 26c | 2,758$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.7 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffc…19adbacked Yes | 74c | 2,703$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 20c | 2,019$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.95 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked No | 27c | 1,975$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.85 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed No | 27c | 1,896$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.75 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…adddbacked No | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.08 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…12f8backed Yes | 74c | 1,770$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.77 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Yes | 73c | 1,705$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.64 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Yes | 73c | 1,650$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.53 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Yes | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.98 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e51…860ebacked No | 28c | 1,429$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 71c | 1,392$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.59 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 27c | 1,375$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.75 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 77c | 1,206$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 66c | 1,126$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.05 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e2…4693backed Yes | 72c | 1,100$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…8301backed Yes | 73c | 1,011$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed No | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 36c | 971.2$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.91 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 35c | 941.75$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.14 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 72c | 847.85$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.46 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes | 73c | 836.97$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.99 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 28c | 833.19$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.15 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc133…bdf0backed Yes | 72c | 826.95$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x693d…a487backed Yes | 78c | 773.28$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed No | 27c | 756.06$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.01 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Yes | 73c | 753.42$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 27c | 749.97$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.48 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Yes | 73c | 743.67$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.88 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -7.2wins | -0.21per pick | 66cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed No | 29c | 730.8$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.63 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed Yes | 69c | 690$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.1 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd8…372bbacked Yes | 72c | 688.89$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 27c | 652$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.96 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc44…2619backed Yes | 80c | 626.71$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc92…26b9backed Yes | 72c | 600$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Yes | 73c | 593.88$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.53 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 71c | 579.99$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.8 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 27c | 555.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.7 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed No | 27c | 500$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 73c | 500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…9769backed Yes | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes | 36c | 500$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b5…5b8abacked Yes | 72c | 492.44$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 73c | 483.38$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.33 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f10…448dbacked Yes | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…269bbacked Yes | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 27c | 400$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd38…09a8backed No | 10c | 399.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 10cpaid | +323.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…abf1backed Yes | 78c | 382.63$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 46c | 379.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.69 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…ef38backed Yes | 55c | 363.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…11b5backed No | 28c | 362.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1c96backed Yes | 46c | 357.72$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.98 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Yes | 71c | 357.41$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.76 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 36c | 353.21$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.22 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…68acbacked No | 28c | 351.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.72 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…9780backed Yes | 72c | 347.22$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c02…3690backed Yes | 73c | 342.38$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.94 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed4…2102backed Yes | 72c | 338.7$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed Yes | 72c | 336.36$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.73 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483e…2d6bbacked No | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 17c | 329.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…ef44backed No | 29c | 312.37$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.78 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 73c | 300$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Yes | 75c | 281.28$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.77 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…ca7ebacked Yes | 74c | 279.29$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Yes | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd19…1b5ebacked Yes | 72c | 277$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 5c | 274.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba1…1703backed Yes | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 26c | 263.53$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.01 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea2c…b94dbacked Yes | 73c | 259.56$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba1…2d08backed Yes | 73c | 252$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x690d…f9a4backed Yes | 72c | 250$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5c…f96fbacked Yes | 43c | 219.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd86b…edc1backed Yes | 72c | 207.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6030…52ddbacked Yes | 74c | 183.26$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 27c | 180.11$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.76 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb894…0ffcbacked Yes | 73c | 179.03$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.69 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 74c | 174.17$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.89 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe763…3d69backed Yes | 74c | 172.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.95 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed No | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 72c | 168.25$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.14 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…cf60backed Yes | 75c | 159.76$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed No | 32c | 158.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.4 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66d…f36fbacked Yes | 57c | 158$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.78 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes | 65c | 154$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…9e72backed Yes | 73c | 150$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…b609backed Yes | 72c | 150$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-26?this page
- Will Everton win on 2024-12-26?No won
- Will Manchester City vs. Everton end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.