Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City vs. Everton end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x031543c613c6fabcd7602c39646859189a4f64cfb67dcaf0f05e97d23f064dcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 9c | 4,699$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,299.45 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 13c | 3,804$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,313.08 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 23c | 3,111$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.32 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 27c | 1,617$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.61 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Yes | 73c | 1,128$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.78 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Yes | 47c | 918.31$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.37 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe4…1996backed Yes | 74c | 838.53$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.02 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffd…05f6backed Yes | 18c | 794$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.56 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Yes | 19c | 515.05$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.19 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 26c | 500.38$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.38 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…01dabacked Yes | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 25c | 470.65$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.65 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…f8a8backed No | 36c | 460.52$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.06 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…7684backed Yes | 74c | 379.58$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x964b…167abacked Yes | 30c | 328.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.11 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…9780backed No | 67c | 327.3$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4707…7e5bbacked Yes | 17c | 293.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.83 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…8f34backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Yes | 42c | 259.33$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.41 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f2…17b9backed Yes | 19c | 246.21$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 17c | 228$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.24 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Yes | 73c | 209.97$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e8…0819backed Yes | 59c | 201.36$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Yes | 62c | 181.55$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Yes | 18c | 170.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.95 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 18c | 168$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.76 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1321…9482backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…f3e7backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…6705backed Yes | 18c | 150.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 34c | 148.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 70c | 142.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 19c | 131.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.37 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae6…01febacked Yes | 18c | 120$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x541c…71a2backed Yes | 77c | 117.31$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 60c | 105.87$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…1bd9backed Yes | 18c | 104$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5272…f0afbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…b756backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6030…52ddbacked Yes | 60c | 97.95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbceb…bd96backed No | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc4…e66fbacked Yes | 58c | 68.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…51afbacked Yes | 66c | 65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…07f5backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 109 | 32.1%35 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4782…6435backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…4657backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 61c | 41.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…7352backed Yes | 56c | 40.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb606…80f6backed Yes | 41c | 32.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x157b…87dcbacked Yes | 67c | 31.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdc…6125backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 63cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x884a…4589backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x333f…6576backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed Yes | 65c | 21.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…6747backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City vs. Everton end in a draw?this page
- Will Everton win on 2024-12-26?No won
- Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.