NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa5a8c5f14b215ea98de0df77d091ff4bb291f7f410965400c64a50ad2deeaf5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Nuggets, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $319,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $364,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $319,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 507 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Cavaliers | 68c | 36,182$24,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,606.32 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Nuggets | 29c | 28,346$8,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,163.04 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Nuggets | 28c | 26,420$7,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,397.8 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f82…d8c7backed Cavaliers | 77c | 12,294$9,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,865.71 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Nuggets | 36c | 11,483$4,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,120.37 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Nuggets | 37c | 9,636$3,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,565.31 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Nuggets | 33c | 7,612$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,526.58 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…e3cebacked Nuggets | 38c | 7,001$2,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Nuggets | 36c | 6,691$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.8 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Cavaliers | 72c | 6,232$4,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.75 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nuggets | 6c | 5,984$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.34 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe661…3cffbacked Cavaliers | 64c | 5,927$3,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.86 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Nuggets | 38c | 5,584$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,094.28 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Cavaliers | 61c | 5,298$3,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.2 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Nuggets | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.97 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb3…e20ebacked Cavaliers | 62c | 4,862$3,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb88d…291abacked Cavaliers | 62c | 4,665$2,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.72 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Nuggets | 3c | 4,648$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.44 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eae…a3f0backed Nuggets | 2c | 4,425$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nuggets | 37c | 3,672$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.3 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Cavaliers | 63c | 3,162$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.92 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Cavaliers | 63c | 2,897$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.27 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Nuggets | 10c | 2,751$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.62 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…57a7backed Nuggets | 20c | 2,741$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.66 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Cavaliers | 61c | 2,660$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.43 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…ef00backed Nuggets | 39c | 2,634$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Nuggets | 33c | 2,466$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.91 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe58…4acbbacked Nuggets | 24c | 2,455$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.36 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed Cavaliers | 63c | 2,188$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.62 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nuggets | 39c | 2,158$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…43b2backed Cavaliers | 62c | 2,142$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.91 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Cavaliers | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets | 6c | 1,878$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.6 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…bb26backed Nuggets | 39c | 1,846$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.77 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3980…724cbacked Nuggets | 38c | 1,842$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Nuggets | 32c | 1,840$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.42 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…0cb0backed Nuggets | 32c | 1,764$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.39 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d3…6747backed Cavaliers | 61c | 1,700$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Nuggets | 37c | 1,684$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.47 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Nuggets | 34c | 1,600$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…e540backed Cavaliers | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ca…77eebacked Nuggets | 38c | 1,579$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d0…2368backed Cavaliers | 63c | 1,552$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Cavaliers | 80c | 1,539$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.1 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8823…4c34backed Cavaliers | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.1 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Cavaliers | 62c | 1,500$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Cavaliers | 67c | 1,464$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.36 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Nuggets | 24c | 1,448$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.22 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Nuggets | 36c | 1,372$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.64 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7801…422bbacked Cavaliers | 62c | 1,214$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.59 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…d647backed Cavaliers | 79c | 1,188$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.42 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Cavaliers | 70c | 1,186$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.38 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Nuggets | 42c | 1,180$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Nuggets | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Nuggets | 39c | 1,131$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.48 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…42f9backed Cavaliers | 63c | 1,130$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.07 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5097…08abbacked Cavaliers | 69c | 1,100$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb015…846ebacked Nuggets | 39c | 1,023$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Cavaliers | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Cavaliers | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cavaliers | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Nuggets | 37c | 999.98$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Cavaliers | 69c | 999.96$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Nuggets | 38c | 874$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.12 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Cavaliers | 62c | 806.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.66 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Cavaliers | 62c | 801.41$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.41 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…7c26backed Nuggets | 39c | 800.35$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f6…5669backed Nuggets | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…90d7backed Cavaliers | 66c | 787.5$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc25e…b592backed Cavaliers | 64c | 764.88$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Nuggets | 28c | 759.94$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.07 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e68…a74dbacked Cavaliers | 62c | 735$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.3 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Cavaliers | 79c | 719.21$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.53 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…ec9bbacked Cavaliers | 63c | 635.2$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.2 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d7…4d24backed Cavaliers | 62c | 577.71$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.53 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x624f…2fa6backed Cavaliers | 56c | 555.84$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.57 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x353b…0d45backed Nuggets | 45c | 554.9$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Cavaliers | 62c | 550$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Nuggets | 27c | 550$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9156…5932backed Nuggets | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Cavaliers | 62c | 532.26$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.26 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Nuggets | 28c | 520.42$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.27 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b3b5backed Nuggets | 29c | 512.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.71 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…b624backed Nuggets | 40c | 502.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Cavaliers | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Cavaliers | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Cavaliers | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7037…7ba4backed Cavaliers | 61c | 499.99$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…2d82backed Nuggets | 39c | 497.96$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Cavaliers | 71c | 496.79$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.73 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddbf…b1b3backed Nuggets | 38c | 494$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc00…57f5backed Cavaliers | 62c | 493.55$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bf…cd05backed Nuggets | 40c | 485.29$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c92…4776backed Cavaliers | 64c | 479.28$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Nuggets | 16c | 476.53$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.24 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Nuggets | 31c | 461.97$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Cavaliers | 54c | 438$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.22 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2d…569cbacked Cavaliers | 74c | 425.42$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.41 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Nuggets | 23c | 417.75$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.96 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Cavaliers | 64c | 403.13$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.13 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -11.8wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.