NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Bruins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde04db3bdf85286598b72f34710abd9b79597d4251256e2ac53f1ea17c62fcfb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Lightning, Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Bruins | 0c | 13,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 62c | 3,262$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.47 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Lightning | 63c | 2,736$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.12 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…0de1backed Bruins | 38c | 2,620$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Bruins | 38c | 2,616$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.93 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…edbfbacked Lightning | 62c | 1,453$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad71…4c93backed Lightning | 62c | 1,310$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817f…9802backed Lightning | 62c | 1,310$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…8bf8backed Bruins | 38c | 1,123$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bruins | 38c | 1,086$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.5 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Bruins | 37c | 1,071$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.27 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Bruins | 38c | 1,049$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Bruins | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Lightning | 68c | 886.63$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.93 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Lightning | 64c | 868.75$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.75 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bruins | 37c | 787.28$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.29 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bruins | 36c | 718.45$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.64 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Bruins | 37c | 675.9$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.08 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d33…eaa3backed Lightning | 62c | 567.09$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Bruins | 38c | 501.88$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.39 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Bruins | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bruins | 34c | 500$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.08 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Bruins | 6c | 500$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Lightning | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Lightning | 61c | 427.09$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.34 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Bruins | 38c | 399.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lightning | 76c | 371.34$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.06 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fec…70f9backed Bruins | 26c | 346.12$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbee7…f75fbacked Lightning | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bruins | 36c | 275.82$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.29 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Bruins | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744a…d2e1backed Lightning | 62c | 232.91$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +60%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Lightning | 62c | 222.01$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.36 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62f…990bbacked Lightning | 63c | 166.67$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Lightning | 61c | 163.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…5a54backed Bruins | 38c | 144.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…439bbacked Lightning | 63c | 140$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bruins | 22c | 137.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6022…e516backed Bruins | 38c | 128.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bruins | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 63c | 105.66$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Lightning | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…9c85backed Lightning | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…ff05backed Bruins | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…d76bbacked Lightning | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62b1…dd65backed Bruins | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc953…0a2abacked Lightning | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Bruins | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368a…9c24backed Bruins | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Bruins | 32c | 99.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 653 | 45%294 W · 359 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…321dbacked Bruins | 39c | 87.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f2…55c6backed Lightning | 64c | 82.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9169…a4c0backed Bruins | 38c | 82.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…3b31backed Bruins | 38c | 81.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db0…3583backed Lightning | 64c | 80.89$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Lightning | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98c…02c6backed Bruins | 38c | 79.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bb…4405backed Lightning | 64c | 78.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d12…db9bbacked Lightning | 64c | 77.17$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…5f89backed Lightning | 63c | 77.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60fb…ca7abacked Bruins | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…abffbacked Bruins | 38c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb26f…4eb9backed Lightning | 62c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96c…087ebacked Lightning | 62c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ab…d8ccbacked Bruins | 38c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Bruins | 40c | 74.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ced…8282backed Lightning | 64c | 73.32$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5457…476ebacked Bruins | 38c | 72.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…e453backed Bruins | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…0464backed Lightning | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…be98backed Lightning | 74c | 67.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 154 | 70.1%108 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…c525backed Lightning | 64c | 65.88$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b4…b953backed Lightning | 62c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +55%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbebe…b4debacked Bruins | 38c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Bruins | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc95…b4aebacked Lightning | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5220…4e88backed Lightning | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f36…7e51backed Bruins | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…9253backed Lightning | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lightning | 63c | 53.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Bruins | 38c | 52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25c9…2c0ebacked Bruins | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0db…a5c5backed Bruins | 39c | 50.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Lightning | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae6…bd16backed Lightning | 64c | 48.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Lightning | 61c | 43.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 234 | 62%145 W · 89 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Bruins | 36c | 41.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Bruins | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf061…2572backed Bruins | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Bruins | 36c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…63a1backed Bruins | 29c | 37.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Lightning | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…b078backed Lightning | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Bruins | 38c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5493…df15backed Bruins | 39c | 26.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…e27fbacked Lightning | 62c | 25.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Lightning | 67c | 25.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e8…a75abacked Lightning | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…4b88backed Lightning | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x566c…a639backed Lightning | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.