NHL · resolved market
Sweden vs. USA
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b2a2497e24be47edf873cd360f4ca5496bb870afd102d6e6dc0ecf4359c36f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Swedenof Sweden, USA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $635,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $621,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $635,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 585 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa304…b674backed USA | 66c | 132,400$87,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,384 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ac…92febacked Sweden | 34c | 116,000$39,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,560 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd124…e0babacked USA | 66c | 95,500$63,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,030 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…f9e6backed Sweden | 34c | 95,493$32,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,025.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Sweden | 31c | 29,309$9,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,225.84 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked USA | 10c | 24,918$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked USA | 66c | 22,315$14,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,739.98 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 71cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4649…1404backed USA | 67c | 17,808$11,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,926.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Sweden | 47c | 17,146$8,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,030.75 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02e…fe03backed Sweden | 34c | 15,010$5,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,856.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +130.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed USA | 71c | 13,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,200 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked USA | 61c | 10,764$6,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,543.16 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x839b…27c3backed Sweden | 34c | 10,140$3,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,692.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…ee0cbacked Sweden | 34c | 10,114$3,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,675.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067c…bfd4backed Sweden | 34c | 10,078$3,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,651.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe487…af15backed USA | 66c | 10,057$6,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,637.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…a7a0backed USA | 66c | 10,050$6,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,632.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8e…4ad8backed USA | 66c | 10,046$6,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,630.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Sweden | 34c | 9,996$3,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,591.3 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…7724backed USA | 55c | 9,232$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7efa…acbebacked Sweden | 34c | 9,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,940 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Sweden | 33c | 8,991$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,984.11 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Sweden | 26c | 8,700$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,479.92 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Sweden | 34c | 7,717$2,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,078.19 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…26b1backed Sweden | 36c | 7,700$2,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,947.34 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Sweden | 34c | 7,537$2,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,942.25 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Sweden | 33c | 7,516$2,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,027.95 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd673…0c20backed Sweden | 34c | 7,400$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,884 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Sweden | 56c | 6,940$3,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,069.41 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…fc1cbacked USA | 43c | 6,937$3,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,015.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Sweden | 36c | 6,344$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,059.23 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Sweden | 65c | 6,037$3,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Sweden | 34c | 5,916$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,913.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd601…bb5dbacked USA | 66c | 5,627$3,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,714 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x064d…a0e4backed Sweden | 35c | 5,359$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,483.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed USA | 68c | 4,668$3,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,175.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5e…c054backed Sweden | 35c | 4,354$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Sweden | 35c | 4,310$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,804.55 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Sweden | 35c | 3,807$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.03 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed USA | 67c | 3,731$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -5.9wins | -0.25per pick | 66cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed USA | 77c | 3,608$2,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,785.63 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked USA | 65c | 3,353$2,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.43 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed8…4788backed USA | 64c | 3,300$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed USA | 65c | 3,249$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…cf55backed USA | 65c | 3,061$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…2adbbacked USA | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Sweden | 32c | 2,959$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.31 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Sweden | 30c | 2,803$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.85 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2276…9717backed USA | 64c | 2,749$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed USA | 65c | 2,740$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Sweden | 34c | 2,551$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.66 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed USA | 66c | 2,283$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.99 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed USA | 69c | 2,023$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.48 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…d6a9backed USA | 64c | 2,002$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.28 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -49%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed USA | 67c | 2,000$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.72 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7338backed Sweden | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…ee63backed USA | 66c | 2,000$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Sweden | 28c | 1,667$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.24 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…4253backed Sweden | 35c | 1,570$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked USA | 55c | 1,439$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.37 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -11.1wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed USA | 37c | 1,412$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.26 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x037e…e009backed Sweden | 80c | 1,325$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Sweden | 30c | 1,320$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.79 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xac92…67efbacked USA | 48c | 1,250$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed USA | 63c | 1,209$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.96 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd605…64b7backed Sweden | 34c | 1,206$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Sweden | 21c | 1,200$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed7…6a46backed Sweden | 34c | 1,188$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked USA | 66c | 1,177$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.56 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed USA | 67c | 1,139$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.21 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked USA | 67c | 1,121$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.37 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked USA | 3c | 1,100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe35…d34abacked USA | 7c | 1,071$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked USA | 67c | 1,001$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.24 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Sweden | 35c | 999.99$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.99 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Sweden | 35c | 991.7$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.67 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed USA | 44c | 963.84$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…b735backed USA | 66c | 909.09$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked USA | 66c | 900$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed USA | 5c | 900$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Sweden | 47c | 859.45$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.85 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c76…6d3cbacked USA | 66c | 848.36$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Sweden | 35c | 846.85$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.99 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef4b…bdc9backed USA | 65c | 809.23$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked USA | 18c | 800$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xceb3…abf0backed USA | 66c | 787.75$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…b2dabacked Sweden | 36c | 777.78$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1100…0060backed USA | 60c | 777.04$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b8…dac9backed Sweden | 36c | 766.67$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Sweden | 34c | 764.71$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.71 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201f…1bbdbacked USA | 64c | 760$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…2ca4backed Sweden | 36c | 760$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…da81backed USA | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…ce1fbacked USA | 66c | 757.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50c…1771backed Sweden | 35c | 746.26$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d6…eec0backed USA | 65c | 738.43$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.98 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0375…b9f2backed USA | 64c | 702.55$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.63 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed USA | 65c | 700$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Sweden | 36c | 700$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked USA | 64c | 700$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.