NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x539dc6f35924f3734840a9eb1f0d0e37634df88ae086251c5fe8040d8db03690
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Warriors, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,517,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,300,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,517,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 360 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Timberwolves | 80c | 300,000$240,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,999.98 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Warriors | 17c | 259,232$43,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,157.25 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3196…146fbacked Warriors | 23c | 218,588$50,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,275.18 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb75…0252backed Warriors | 20c | 157,521$31,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,504.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d74…89c1backed Warriors | 18c | 136,000$24,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Warriors | 19c | 92,469$17,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,569.07 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Warriors | 20c | 87,035$17,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,297.01 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Timberwolves | 77c | 64,249$49,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,770.05 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Warriors | 10c | 62,239$6,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,489.56 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Warriors | 21c | 55,555$11,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,666.55 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Warriors | 2c | 55,000$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Warriors | 23c | 50,000$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,500 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f86…0fa0backed Warriors | 7c | 47,827$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,350 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 42,089$32,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,453.16 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x188d…6583backed Warriors | 12c | 33,307$3,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,863.55 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Timberwolves | 77c | 32,814$25,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,547.33 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Warriors | 20c | 32,411$6,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,541.35 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e44…e83fbacked Warriors | 23c | 29,752$6,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,946.94 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 29,032$22,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,457.58 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked Warriors | 19c | 26,494$4,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,939.74 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…3d11backed Warriors | 13c | 25,776$3,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,340.18 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Timberwolves | 80c | 24,848$19,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,027.73 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b34…7484backed Warriors | 4c | 24,585$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Warriors | 18c | 24,342$4,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,381.56 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Warriors | 11c | 21,239$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Warriors | 21c | 20,985$4,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,406.93 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Timberwolves | 78c | 19,659$15,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,404.98 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Timberwolves | 78c | 19,248$15,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,206.94 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Warriors | 13c | 18,757$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380.38 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Timberwolves | 79c | 18,546$14,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,853.96 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Timberwolves | 79c | 18,381$14,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,845.09 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Warriors | 14c | 17,520$2,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,441.86 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Warriors | 23c | 15,092$3,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,471.25 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…e8cbbacked Warriors | 9c | 12,690$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.54 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 8cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Warriors | 19c | 11,778$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,272.67 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe9…8826backed Warriors | 22c | 10,496$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290.84 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…4083backed Warriors | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffec…7a8bbacked Warriors | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Warriors | 1c | 9,932$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.87 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…e7bfbacked Warriors | 16c | 9,605$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.12 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +139.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors | 17c | 8,668$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.92 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Warriors | 20c | 8,519$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.51 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Warriors | 20c | 8,213$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.69 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Warriors | 11c | 8,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Warriors | 17c | 7,832$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.93 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed Warriors | 2c | 7,526$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Warriors | 5c | 7,278$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.71 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 80c | 7,229$5,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.8 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Warriors | 21c | 7,066$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Warriors | 16c | 6,529$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.74 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…e5ecbacked Warriors | 4c | 6,187$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Warriors | 3c | 6,149$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.55 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Warriors | 18c | 5,555$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Warriors | 21c | 5,448$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.88 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Timberwolves | 80c | 5,280$4,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Timberwolves | 78c | 5,093$3,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.55 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Warriors | 20c | 5,016$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Timberwolves | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Warriors | 10c | 5,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Warriors | 20c | 4,965$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…2a3cbacked Warriors | 6c | 4,960$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 87 | 14.9%13 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Warriors | 20c | 4,498$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.69 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Warriors | 16c | 4,412$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.82 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcb…a331backed Warriors | 21c | 4,233$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Warriors | 6c | 4,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Warriors | 18c | 3,889$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Timberwolves | 77c | 3,858$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.9 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6b…9390backed Warriors | 4c | 3,763$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…451ebacked Warriors | 7c | 3,645$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dee…2ab7backed Warriors | 3c | 3,641$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.06 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Warriors | 18c | 3,611$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeacc…6c6ebacked Warriors | 23c | 3,562$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Warriors | 0c | 3,544$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Warriors | 19c | 3,500$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 173 | 35.8%62 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…dc82backed Warriors | 6c | 3,500$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Warriors | 18c | 3,330$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.41 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x776d…ec4bbacked Timberwolves | 79c | 3,124$2,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Warriors | 1c | 3,025$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe0…2576backed Warriors | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | +10.9wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Timberwolves | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb56…012bbacked Warriors | 10c | 2,976$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Warriors | 1c | 2,850$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Timberwolves | 77c | 2,731$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.44 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Warriors | 4c | 2,718$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Warriors | 7c | 2,702$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.12 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Warriors | 0c | 2,700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…896fbacked Warriors | 6c | 2,700$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Warriors | 19c | 2,632$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc70…1e2abacked Warriors | 7c | 2,486$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…96e4backed Warriors | 7c | 2,460$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +7.8wins | +0.15per pick | 17cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…e60abacked Warriors | 8c | 2,360$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 153 | 16.3%25 W · 128 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77b1…bcdbbacked Warriors | 24c | 2,292$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Timberwolves | 80c | 2,160$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.1 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Warriors | 7c | 2,143$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Timberwolves | 79c | 2,007$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.58 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Warriors | 5c | 2,005$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Warriors | 21c | 2,002$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.62 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Warriors | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Warriors | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Warriors | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Timberwolvesthis page
- Over 199.5Over won
- Over 200.5Over won
- Over 201.5Over won
- Over 202.5Over won
- Over 203.5Over won
- Over 204.5Over won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-16.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.