TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Celtics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Celtics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,620,092
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,540,015

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,620,092 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 367 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x727b…d1a2backed Knicks19c144,089$27,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116,285.5228341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed Knicks68c138,786$94,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,648.410357.3%59 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Knicks18c58,938$10,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,201.5596447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb75…0252backed Knicks19c57,924$11,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,918.77728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+77.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Knicks12c45,685$5,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,330.5814434%49 W · 95 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Knicks49c45,272$22,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,003.9322457.1%128 W · 96 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Knicks18c41,224$7,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,879.946426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6790…5e06backed Knicks19c38,748$7,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,385.647335.6%26 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Knicks12c36,920$4,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,405.6426431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Knicks13c36,048$4,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,254.327929.1%23 W · 56 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Celtics4c32,000$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.7122832%73 W · 155 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf33…261fbacked Knicks19c28,263$5,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,893.3717420.1%35 W · 139 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Knicks17c22,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,30036843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Knicks19c20,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,199.693644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Celtics61c18,530$11,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,246.511,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Knicks20c16,264$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,064.2625536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Knicks18c16,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,119.971,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Knicks6c15,663$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,706.8218518.4%34 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c70…232abacked Knicks20c15,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,0005337.7%20 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks50c14,939$7,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,495.513,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Knicks19c14,240$2,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,472.635352.4%185 W · 168 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Knicks11c13,322$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,801.9613731.4%43 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05b9…af0abacked Knicks13c11,519$1,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,065.672240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0a…e004backed Knicks9c11,129$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,111.57850%4 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+143.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7268…0bc4backed Celtics0c11,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Knicks13c10,186$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,852.091,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Celtics80c10,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00059653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc814…dc7cbacked Celtics80c10,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,000540%2 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick73cpaid-49.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2217…7c98backed Knicks19c9,995$1,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,095.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+163.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb93b…6791backed Knicks19c9,993$1,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,094.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+233.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Knicks14c9,446$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,081.5237734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Knicks17c9,345$1,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,712.4576850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1571…c4e6backed Knicks12c8,626$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,574.9419419.1%37 W · 157 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6094…3bd9backed Knicks13c8,621$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,485.288536.5%31 W · 54 L+8.8wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+61.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe343…469bbacked Knicks20c8,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,4003100%3 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+291.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Knicks19c7,503$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,054.081,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1d5…5684backed Knicks9c6,600$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,009.64434.1%15 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Knicks29c5,705$1,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,068.4928347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9136…7169backed Knicks19c5,684$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,598.855832.8%19 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Celtics1c5,550$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.591434.9%7 W · 136 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9d5…4739backed Knicks18c5,460$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,477.471250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+47.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3503…b8babacked Celtics80c5,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-46.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb142…cd11backed Knicks9c4,865$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,427.224148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+35.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4f8…b76fbacked Knicks18c4,600$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,766.992860.7%17 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+41%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Knicks54c4,486$2,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,072.5920248%97 W · 105 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa53e…8ba5backed Knicks19c4,378$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,546.483043.3%13 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+30.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf710…ecbabacked Knicks20c4,345$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4762657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+51%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Knicks19c4,155$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,384.5466853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Celtics80c4,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,20079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7678…102ebacked Knicks19c4,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2401266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe25b…0f1bbacked Knicks14c4,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4403948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x069c…96e4backed Knicks15c3,975$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,374.825332.1%17 W · 36 L+7.8wins+0.15per pick17cpaid+39.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Knicks56c3,892$2,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,712.083345.5%15 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick30cpaid+3.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Knicks17c3,848$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,196.3670640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac18…2e72backed Knicks20c3,812$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,049.29475%3 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick25cpaid+195.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Knicks10c3,609$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,259.1719535.4%69 W · 126 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Knicks25c3,552$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,652.4866744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Knicks6c3,393$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,176.6738027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa530…4280backed Knicks16c3,361$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,811.341250%6 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+191.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x28da…b97dbacked Knicks21c3,200$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5186230.6%19 W · 43 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x188d…6583backed Knicks19c3,145$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5465038%19 W · 31 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+25.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8948…b9e6backed Knicks12c3,135$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,745.67977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.34per pick44cpaid+132.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb0cc…73e6backed Knicks20c3,098$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,478.763545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Knicks4c2,735$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,614.688783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b92…046ebacked Knicks37c2,704$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,690.5516140.4%65 W · 96 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef2…d0dabacked Knicks10c2,660$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,385.311019.1%21 W · 89 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e9a…2af3backed Knicks19c2,635$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,134.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff72…512bbacked Knicks7c2,632$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,439.6721935.6%78 W · 141 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb22…c471backed Knicks20c2,572$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,057.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a61…5781backed Celtics40c2,521$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003666.7%24 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Knicks17c2,512$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,092.3266732.4%216 W · 451 L+41.8wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-3.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadb9…2067backed Knicks8c2,471$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,272.9812941.9%54 W · 75 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+38.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x80da…4f6dbacked Knicks4c2,433$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,332.563935.9%14 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+62.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Knicks53c2,400$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12819448.5%94 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77b1…bcdbbacked Knicks16c2,383$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,992.67616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae8f…089dbacked Knicks7c2,339$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,181.392842.9%12 W · 16 L+5.7wins+0.20per pick23cpaid+172%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7da9…2238backed Knicks19c2,200$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7821100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Knicks14c2,193$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,892.7226640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Knicks9c2,105$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,905.2618044.4%80 W · 100 L+15.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Celtics1c2,000$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6424423.8%58 W · 186 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-56.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb42d…3d11backed Knicks19c2,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6203636.1%13 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Knicks19c2,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62040627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed Knicks7c2,000$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,869.9922039.1%86 W · 134 L+14.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fdc…42f9backed Knicks8c1,792$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.184858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Knicks45c1,619$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.4848046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Knicks12c1,500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32010530.5%32 W · 73 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7dd…3696backed Knicks9c1,411$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.823831.6%12 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+109.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf907…a8c1backed Knicks19c1,375$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.92475%3 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick23cpaid+188.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xac24…4a1bbacked Knicks5c1,370$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.5850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+207.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93dc…896fbacked Knicks6c1,350$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.55129.4%15 W · 36 L+6.8wins+0.13per pick16cpaid+57.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe5fb…84b5backed Knicks19c1,305$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.261782.4%14 W · 3 L+4.3wins+0.25per pick57cpaid+74.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Knicks17c1,235$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.7514034.3%48 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Celtics80c1,222$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.624554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9228…e41abacked Knicks18c1,213$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.4530243.7%132 W · 170 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcade…ffe0backed Knicks19c1,170$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.28742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+30.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Knicks30c1,108$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.8710837%40 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Knicks23c1,073$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.582,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07c4…133ebacked Knicks15c1,064$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.292343.5%10 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick28cpaid+163.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1953…4a80backed Knicks19c1,053$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.63650%3 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+73.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Knicks6c1,050$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99067911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.