MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Milwaukee Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7324d9c458ff5dd891f8cb334b61aa503e3c74b5b7d0f58c6a71be971c35da87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Detroit Tigers, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 21,746$10,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,752.8 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 10,880$5,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,527.62 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 9,860$4,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,127.2 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 8,259$4,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,212.07 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +7.7wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Detroit Tigers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 2,429$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 2,376$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.04 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 1,910$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.2 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Detroit Tigers | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Detroit Tigers | 50c | 938$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.96 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 833$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.16 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 788.48$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.81 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 759.02$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.92 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Detroit Tigers | 49c | 604.02$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.97 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Detroit Tigers | 49c | 512.8$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.27 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 345.12$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.24 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 299.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Detroit Tigers | 51c | 232.49$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.57 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Detroit Tigers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fb…e089backed Detroit Tigers | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 111$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 74.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2a…1e46backed Detroit Tigers | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Detroit Tigers | 50c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6072…fb46backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 39.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.