NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Canadiens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf40411639bec683955dd9cba25c29caff39a565ebf96479f33d3367e525ecf69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Capitals, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $249,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $293,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Canadiens | 46c | 30,000$13,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,800.01 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Capitals | 53c | 29,862$15,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,060.37 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Capitals | 54c | 25,628$13,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,810.23 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Canadiens | 46c | 25,121$11,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,574.53 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Canadiens | 45c | 20,631$9,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,374.02 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Capitals | 55c | 20,497$11,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,267.02 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4727…aa86backed Capitals | 57c | 15,014$8,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,487.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Canadiens | 44c | 11,464$5,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,070.48 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Capitals | 53c | 11,000$5,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,169.97 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 47c | 6,901$3,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,261.45 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Capitals | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Capitals | 56c | 4,107$2,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.14 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Canadiens | 47c | 3,880$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.6 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Capitals | 54c | 3,700$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Canadiens | 54c | 3,700$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db3…3772backed Canadiens | 48c | 3,507$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Capitals | 51c | 3,225$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.57 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Canadiens | 43c | 3,197$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.68 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Canadiens | 46c | 3,038$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Capitals | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce13…a213backed Capitals | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…a557backed Canadiens | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a4…abc9backed Canadiens | 24c | 2,861$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ead…cf47backed Capitals | 58c | 2,780$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Canadiens | 47c | 2,448$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Capitals | 53c | 2,400$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Capitals | 54c | 2,222$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.22 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Canadiens | 42c | 2,078$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.16 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Capitals | 62c | 2,000$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.5 | 427 | 51.1%218 W · 209 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Capitals | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Capitals | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1c…5386backed Capitals | 55c | 1,948$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Canadiens | 38c | 1,925$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.5 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canadiens | 52c | 1,901$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.14 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Capitals | 54c | 1,822$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.22 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Capitals | 53c | 1,764$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.57 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Canadiens | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…1134backed Capitals | 53c | 1,452$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.74 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.41per pick | 49cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb8…af02backed Canadiens | 46c | 1,428$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…560fbacked Capitals | 47c | 1,342$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.05 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Capitals | 50c | 1,331$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.08 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Capitals | 63c | 1,258$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.67 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…95fbbacked Capitals | 58c | 1,227$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.69 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Capitals | 57c | 1,051$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.32 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Capitals | 57c | 1,038$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.81 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Canadiens | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Capitals | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…533bbacked Canadiens | 42c | 956.55$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Canadiens | 45c | 930.21$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.55 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Capitals | 54c | 838.02$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.49 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Canadiens | 47c | 803.4$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Capitals | 53c | 756$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.32 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Capitals | 54c | 705.85$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.69 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Capitals | 53c | 669.67$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.11 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Canadiens | 46c | 604.5$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 11c | 567.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79b…107abacked Capitals | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Capitals | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Capitals | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Capitals | 56c | 457$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.56 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Capitals | 54c | 450$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…b66ebacked Capitals | 54c | 445.7$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.7 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Capitals | 59c | 442.37$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.37 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Capitals | 59c | 440.47$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.13 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…ad20backed Canadiens | 46c | 434.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…a19bbacked Canadiens | 48c | 419.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Canadiens | 48c | 399.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Canadiens | 44c | 394.74$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.52 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Canadiens | 45c | 388.89$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c5…e14bbacked Canadiens | 43c | 379.99$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.39 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa124…4891backed Capitals | 30c | 352.17$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.17 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Canadiens | 45c | 345$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.25 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77f7…9385backed Capitals | 58c | 321.93$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53b7…6c96backed Capitals | 54c | 309.61$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.42 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Capitals | 57c | 302$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.86 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba8…61b7backed Capitals | 51c | 301.33$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Canadiens | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…58f0backed Canadiens | 69c | 300$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Canadiens | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad77…103bbacked Capitals | 54c | 260.91$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…b462backed Canadiens | 46c | 260.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc96d…7d43backed Canadiens | 50c | 260$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29dc…bf90backed Canadiens | 39c | 253.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x346f…5b81backed Canadiens | 46c | 252.17$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Capitals | 54c | 231.48$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.48 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…9574backed Canadiens | 11c | 230.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Capitals | 53c | 226.74$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.57 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Canadiens | 46c | 222$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Canadiens | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…f8c4backed Canadiens | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +7.7wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5413backed Capitals | 54c | 209.04$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.16 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Capitals | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1c…380bbacked Canadiens | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Canadiens | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 101 | 6.9%7 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Capitals | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…5e38backed Capitals | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df2…c71dbacked Canadiens | 46c | 195.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ac…3a56backed Capitals | 54c | 188.89$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Capitals | 52c | 186.04$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.