MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb753cb3ad978a6b9ebddadffd10061df6e453ada270fe971a2f4bec9a44da3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof Kansas City Royals, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 4,945$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.44 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed New York Yankees | 54c | 4,416$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035.83 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed New York Yankees | 57c | 4,150$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.8 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 3,726$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.12 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 2,702$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.91 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 2,310$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.3 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 2,220$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.89 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…d81bbacked New York Yankees | 55c | 1,535$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed New York Yankees | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees | 54c | 918.52$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.11 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Kansas City Royals | 25c | 772.71$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.13 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked New York Yankees | 56c | 700$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked New York Yankees | 50c | 637.66$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.12 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 600.36$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.15 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked New York Yankees | 55c | 560.13$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.06 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Kansas City Royals | 23c | 375$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.25 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 362.34$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.3 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed New York Yankees | 58c | 180$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed New York Yankees | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed New York Yankees | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6072…fb46backed New York Yankees | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed New York Yankees | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 91.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked New York Yankees | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 36.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed New York Yankees | 57c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed New York Yankees | 57c | 30.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c75…154abacked New York Yankees | 58c | 22.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13cd…245dbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.