NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x332e4327912b7ff319cfeda6a63b03795e1368b7068a2bf6e3d32a8aaa2970f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Clippers, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $296,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $324,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $296,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 405 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Timberwolves | 57c | 15,861$8,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,886.75 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x872d…d08cbacked Clippers | 46c | 10,938$5,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,057.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Timberwolves | 55c | 10,030$5,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,523.4 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Clippers | 45c | 8,320$3,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,744.14 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Clippers | 35c | 6,176$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,181.66 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e14…f4dabacked Clippers | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Clippers | 44c | 5,341$2,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,371.45 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0137…bf9ebacked Timberwolves | 58c | 5,217$3,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Clippers | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Clippers | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Clippers | 45c | 4,193$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.85 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Clippers | 44c | 3,911$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.76 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Timberwolves | 55c | 3,697$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.51 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Timberwolves | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.83 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 3,200$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed Clippers | 44c | 3,008$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.52 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Timberwolves | 58c | 2,990$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.01 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…029ebacked Timberwolves | 69c | 2,822$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Timberwolves | 53c | 2,618$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.78 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Clippers | 44c | 2,291$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…ae30backed Timberwolves | 56c | 2,076$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cf…1db8backed Clippers | 45c | 2,076$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…feb3backed Timberwolves | 58c | 2,062$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.37 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Clippers | 46c | 2,000$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.61 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…2f5fbacked Timberwolves | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Clippers | 38c | 2,000$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.59 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Clippers | 4c | 1,824$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.85 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,819$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.63 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Timberwolves | 58c | 1,795$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.99 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Clippers | 31c | 1,780$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.4 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -44%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4205…46a7backed Clippers | 45c | 1,682$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.11 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Clippers | 1c | 1,647$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Clippers | 43c | 1,588$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.46 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Clippers | 10c | 1,574$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.48 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Timberwolves | 59c | 1,500$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.92 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Timberwolves | 76c | 1,438$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.24 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3c…502dbacked Clippers | 28c | 1,419$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.32 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…9a00backed Clippers | 42c | 1,400$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Timberwolves | 59c | 1,381$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.64 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Timberwolves | 59c | 1,375$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.58 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…a7e8backed Clippers | 48c | 1,327$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.89 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Timberwolves | 59c | 1,165$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.7 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Timberwolves | 59c | 1,146$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.88 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Clippers | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Timberwolves | 77c | 1,095$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.83 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Timberwolves | 48c | 1,071$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.13 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…dafdbacked Clippers | 54c | 1,069$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.35 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf27…929ebacked Clippers | 1c | 1,041$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Clippers | 54c | 1,000$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Clippers | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Timberwolves | 56c | 999.98$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe6…2255backed Timberwolves | 55c | 999.93$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0b…25d9backed Clippers | 42c | 952.5$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Clippers | 46c | 934.09$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.68 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a8…adcebacked Clippers | 45c | 841.51$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.27 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Clippers | 60c | 837.87$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.94 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Clippers | 76c | 808.87$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.62 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…794bbacked Timberwolves | 75c | 802.42$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.07 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e3…da40backed Timberwolves | 56c | 800.4$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.18 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b02…e4e8backed Clippers | 44c | 799.97$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0964…d727backed Clippers | 71c | 768.28$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.9 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Clippers | 44c | 750$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 745.86$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Clippers | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…9f7ebacked Clippers | 79c | 681.37$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.28 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Clippers | 45c | 662.7$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 637.02$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.03 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc835…9525backed Timberwolves | 59c | 609.12$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817f…9802backed Timberwolves | 56c | 600$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.31 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…0de1backed Clippers | 46c | 600$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.02 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e27…143ebacked Clippers | 43c | 570$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Clippers | 2c | 566$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 550$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Clippers | 43c | 532.36$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.98 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Timberwolves | 45c | 519.43$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.69 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfca0…8f2bbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 514.91$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Clippers | 45c | 500$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Clippers | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 70cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6c…e44fbacked Clippers | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf19e…461abacked Clippers | 42c | 499.99$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Timberwolves | 58c | 499.96$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.98 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Clippers | 44c | 493.17$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.99 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Clippers | 43c | 458.26$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.05 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Timberwolves | 32c | 439.19$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.19 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…263abacked Clippers | 44c | 430$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 65cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…dc6abacked Clippers | 24c | 420.49$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.92 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Timberwolves | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.41 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Timberwolves | 54c | 403.94$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.81 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0b…f974backed Clippers | 32c | 400.15$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Timberwolves | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Timberwolves | 55c | 399.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…260bbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 393.86$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Clippers | 43c | 388.36$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.4 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Timberwolves | 55c | 380$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.7 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Clippers | 43c | 372$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.55 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ed…3921backed Timberwolves | 78c | 371.71$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Clippers | 42c | 356.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757b…62c8backed Timberwolves | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7679…8c3abacked Clippers | 43c | 350.23$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Timberwolves | 59c | 345$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.18 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.