Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Xavier vs. Texas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06a49f84dc36633874f4d11e26205ec7816bf06fcf5ca100c010a8e72ee0d34f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xavierof Xavier, Texas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $231,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $225,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47bc…c043backed Xavier | 36c | 41,339$14,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,513.04 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Texas | 66c | 30,217$20,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,037.72 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Texas | 40c | 18,842$7,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,536.73 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Texas | 43c | 15,713$6,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,689 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Texas | 54c | 12,537$6,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,710.89 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Xavier | 57c | 8,595$4,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,676.49 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked Xavier | 57c | 7,817$4,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,361.4 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Texas | 27c | 7,116$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.2 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Texas | 18c | 5,615$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.28 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Texas | 43c | 5,384$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.34 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Xavier | 46c | 5,174$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,805.49 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Xavier | 59c | 3,505$2,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.1 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…5fe9backed Xavier | 50c | 2,348$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.1 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Texas | 40c | 2,296$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.79 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd3…e97fbacked Texas | 42c | 2,012$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Texas | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Xavier | 57c | 1,800$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.5 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Xavier | 57c | 1,486$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.98 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Xavier | 36c | 1,354$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.84 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Texas | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Texas | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…8e56backed Xavier | 56c | 799.99$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.99 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Texas | 44c | 738.05$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.74 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…1906backed Texas | 41c | 707.32$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Xavier | 28c | 674.72$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.8 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8053…2a8ebacked Texas | 44c | 614.45$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.87 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Xavier | 46c | 602.38$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.07 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef9…35cfbacked Texas | 63c | 517$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.23 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Xavier | 57c | 438.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.4 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…779dbacked Texas | 28c | 428.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.97 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Xavier | 53c | 418.57$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.68 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Xavier | 44c | 255.05$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.69 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Xavier | 59c | 237.63$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.43 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Texas | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Texas | 43c | 232.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked Xavier | 26c | 211$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.36 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4191…9538backed Texas | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Xavier | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Xavier | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9e…e286backed Xavier | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Xavier | 59c | 199.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…f8c4backed Texas | 44c | 183$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.52 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Xavier | 77c | 163.95$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Xavier | 59c | 155.25$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.65 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Xavier | 34c | 152.94$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.94 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…3476backed Texas | 42c | 143.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…9c6abacked Texas | 70c | 140$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Texas | 43c | 125$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Texas | 42c | 118.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Texas | 75c | 114$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Texas | 65c | 110.03$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.08 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…a493backed Texas | 41c | 101$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Xavier | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Xavier | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed Texas | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Xavier | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…c675backed Xavier | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…7ca7backed Texas | 74c | 95.82$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Texas | 70c | 86.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Texas | 75c | 85.71$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Xavier | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…d431backed Xavier | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8550…90f7backed Xavier | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b0…c712backed Xavier | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7c…f1a6backed Xavier | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Xavier | 56c | 65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc828…66b7backed Texas | 64c | 58.94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Texas | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Texas | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2fdbbacked Texas | 61c | 48.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8db3…7febbacked Xavier | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Xavier | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Xavier | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Xavier | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56f…3914backed Texas | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Xavier | 59c | 33.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…47afbacked Texas | 41c | 29.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a37…8c36backed Xavier | 58c | 28.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3f…3aa3backed Xavier | 43c | 27.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.