TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Suns, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$609,498
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$612,651

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $609,498 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 757 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2317…c891backed Suns42c82,455$34,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,516.9211842.4%50 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Suns0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets33c24,759$8,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,513.343,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Hornets56c14,670$8,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,493.9829738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2a3…1698backed Hornets36c12,707$4,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,071.19250%46 W · 46 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Hornets49c10,366$5,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,304.4461532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Hornets48c9,291$4,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,854.4329043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Suns49c8,763$4,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,299.166744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0d9…ad02backed Suns59c8,343$4,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,881.091752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Hornets60c7,795$4,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,152.7749849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Hornets79c7,560$5,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,592.3270147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3e…b656backed Suns64c7,043$4,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5405269.2%36 W · 16 L+6.3wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x11e0…734dbacked Suns63c7,000$4,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,410540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Hornets36c6,891$2,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,434.477745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28c1…a4ccbacked Hornets72c6,714$4,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,872.525561.8%34 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Hornets43c6,467$2,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,707.865642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Hornets49c6,417$3,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,267.839843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Suns75c6,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x791e…17ddbacked Suns53c5,800$3,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0627248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd065…93e8backed Suns57c5,563$3,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,18510945.9%50 W · 59 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f59…a01abacked Suns66c5,315$3,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,511.818561.2%52 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Hornets44c5,219$2,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,934.9450245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Hornets69c5,128$3,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,582.2434425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Hornets34c4,950$1,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,244.3272341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x660b…7191backed Suns65c4,938$3,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,217.82560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed Hornets37c4,824$1,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,049.723627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Hornets45c4,548$2,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,509.0617141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Hornets36c4,507$1,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,894.4219845.5%90 W · 108 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked Hornets37c4,441$1,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,811.4114438.9%56 W · 88 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Suns67c4,414$2,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,960.6168642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf96d…dafdbacked Suns64c4,261$2,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,712.572152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e30…ef89backed Hornets33c4,188$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,786.967741.6%32 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Hornets25c4,130$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,106.671,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Hornets36c4,028$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,579.691,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ca9…508ebacked Hornets37c4,020$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,532.6742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Suns14c3,914$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.365,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54f5…e936backed Hornets68c3,891$2,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.2415947.8%76 W · 83 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60cd…9860backed Hornets36c3,800$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,431.89475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+40.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77cf…9d82backed Suns30c3,523$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.76837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Hornets34c3,500$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,309.9946131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Suns8c3,473$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.7718518.4%34 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb09…dd9cbacked Hornets36c3,369$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,155.991127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-39.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe8e…e481backed Hornets36c3,369$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,155.99977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+68.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xadef…d0acbacked Suns71c3,308$2,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,339.243348.5%16 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Suns2c3,300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811348.2%11 W · 123 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-81.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Suns63c3,300$2,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,078.9237954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c07…5214backed Suns66c3,241$2,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,138.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x178e…76f7backed Hornets34c3,164$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,088.18666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+101.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc44…ae30backed Hornets36c3,150$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,016475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+75.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x79cf…1db8backed Suns65c3,150$2,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,047.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-71.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21bd…ae93backed Suns64c3,011$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,927.0711259.8%67 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x162c…a71cbacked Hornets37c3,000$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,889.991376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+36.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Hornets36c3,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.9320047%94 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1875…eb5ebacked Suns25c2,768$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.796229%18 W · 44 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid0%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Suns2c2,734$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.91,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Suns38c2,640$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00027041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd94f…8936backed Suns44c2,558$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Suns59c2,531$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.3685347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Suns1c2,500$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.754573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Hornets35c2,326$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.885552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53f6…7f1fbacked Suns65c2,308$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004165.9%27 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc835…9525backed Hornets52c2,305$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.8850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Suns63c2,211$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.7114039.3%55 W · 85 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…cf42backed Suns63c2,191$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3901050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcabf…c2d7backed Hornets40c2,183$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.451050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb586…7f97backed Suns65c2,172$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.573743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Suns64c2,167$1,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.8323648.7%115 W · 121 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Hornets36c2,108$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,357.0673051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Suns64c1,999$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.1896447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x542e…e88ebacked Hornets49c1,681$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.4314941.6%62 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x330b…e446backed Suns42c1,600$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67211146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Suns63c1,577$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016261.7%100 W · 62 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc470…64a7backed Suns64c1,563$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x236a…9a00backed Hornets36c1,550$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9922437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6153…0e04backed Suns65c1,527$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.396347.6%30 W · 33 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x212a…1873backed Suns70c1,500$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-47.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3b…d17cbacked Hornets38c1,490$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.891118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick45cpaid-61.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x31b7…bde1backed Suns51c1,487$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.599739.2%38 W · 59 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Hornets70c1,479$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.5119350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0054…7f85backed Hornets66c1,441$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.793745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Suns37c1,430$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.1825939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f16…b561backed Suns66c1,419$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.96837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick66cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x45b2…0c1abacked Suns65c1,400$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.64755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4583…0bb9backed Hornets36c1,389$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.031947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Suns41c1,385$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.0213140.5%53 W · 78 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Suns59c1,371$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.6362351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Suns51c1,357$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.0730443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Suns19c1,348$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25138132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Hornets37c1,300$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8251,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hornets53c1,300$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6151,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Hornets70c1,259$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.9117243%74 W · 98 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Suns66c1,256$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.7216838.7%65 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8258…f208backed Suns63c1,251$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.577032.9%23 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7910…3f29backed Suns2c1,250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…2f5fbacked Suns6c1,214$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.822050%10 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9320…f7d7backed Hornets34c1,206$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.153262.5%20 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+57.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6459…c926backed Hornets29c1,205$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.896634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f6…673abacked Hornets37c1,200$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.991050%5 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+45.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6aab…9c4cbacked Suns58c1,200$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.9929661.5%182 W · 114 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Suns2c1,197$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.565502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.