TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Pacers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Mavericks, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$657,404
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$690,549

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $657,404 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa47a…fd11backed Mavericks71c63,804$45,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,091.165261.5%32 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Mavericks54c47,406$25,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,41622049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Pacers53c31,690$16,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,872.5534532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Mavericks76c31,646$23,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,919.371,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Pacers45c23,794$10,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,091.9833931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers26c22,501$5,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,660.813,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa84b…5055backed Mavericks72c19,655$14,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,155.416361.9%39 W · 24 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick72cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6dd…bf2bbacked Mavericks15c19,563$3,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,017.084628.3%13 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Mavericks0c17,195$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6410926.6%29 W · 80 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Pacers38c16,702$6,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,364.3827251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c21…86e5backed Mavericks21c10,024$2,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,105.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd35e…3a85backed Pacers79c9,997$7,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+141.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Mavericks20c9,289$1,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,857.8876249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Mavericks20c8,062$1,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,598.6937627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed Mavericks18c8,021$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.74040%16 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mavericks22c7,602$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,672.4396447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0564…ce95backed Mavericks21c6,700$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.974721.3%10 W · 37 L-7.5wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks20c5,743$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.751,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pacers79c5,292$4,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.9649849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pacers37c5,100$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,214.881,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Mavericks19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9501,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Mavericks0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Pacers77c5,000$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,15029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Mavericks19c4,794$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.8937448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Pacers70c4,226$2,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.1688053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe4f…5241backed Pacers30c4,050$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,843.8615341.8%64 W · 89 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c4b…f6dbbacked Mavericks66c3,948$2,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,598.69650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Mavericks20c3,769$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.9137734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Mavericks20c3,699$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.6261835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Mavericks19c3,239$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011229.5%33 W · 79 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Mavericks17c3,167$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55010533.3%35 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a26…410ebacked Pacers39c3,077$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,876.922653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+24.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8532…f65cbacked Pacers80c2,602$2,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.481233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-43.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Pacers42c2,601$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.4880146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeca…edaabacked Mavericks20c2,578$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.5825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-49.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ead…cf47backed Mavericks66c2,576$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7004050%20 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Pacers72c2,517$1,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.51,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Mavericks21c2,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52546928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x35aa…94bcbacked Pacers29c2,276$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,615.863860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Mavericks22c2,158$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.529747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Pacers61c2,066$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.7170640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Mavericks19c2,020$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39038027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Pacers80c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0560…d77dbacked Mavericks18c1,948$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.716346%29 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed Mavericks20c1,758$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.69836.7%36 W · 62 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Mavericks7c1,745$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.198783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Mavericks20c1,609$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.6473647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c27…867ebacked Mavericks18c1,599$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.82633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-31.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Mavericks23c1,562$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.1536247.2%171 W · 191 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Mavericks20c1,400$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28145743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Pacers54c1,372$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.9747229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Mavericks23c1,304$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010541%43 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69f3…db29backed Mavericks5c1,250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60419.8%4 W · 37 L-0.2wins0.00per pick10cpaid-81.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pacers56c1,249$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.755,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Mavericks39c1,246$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48026934.9%94 W · 175 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0753…25b2backed Mavericks9c1,221$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.66021.7%13 W · 47 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Mavericks21c1,192$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.3613929.5%41 W · 98 L+0.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae00…f7b0backed Mavericks64c1,172$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7507864.1%50 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Pacers41c1,077$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.8961345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Pacers40c1,032$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.2653134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Mavericks23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23068642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Mavericks18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18030826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f5f…9ce2backed Pacers80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+48.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Mavericks22c999.94$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9932130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd296…5febbacked Mavericks19c999.79$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.96850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+69.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9977…085fbacked Mavericks19c965.21$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.3916617.5%29 W · 137 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2388…a491backed Mavericks3c928.18$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.411127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee9a…529abacked Mavericks19c926.32$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Mavericks39c897.88$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35066744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Mavericks27c887.98$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.1234524.3%84 W · 261 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bcb…725abacked Mavericks1c855.66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.67857.1%6 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Mavericks19c800$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15216928.4%48 W · 121 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2387…abe1backed Pacers80c780$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8cc…a553backed Mavericks20c775$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Pacers46c700$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37827731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff7b…52a8backed Pacers18c700$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5716747.8%32 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224b…d105backed Pacers79c699.38$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.387169%49 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x87cf…25a4backed Pacers15c666.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.672650%13 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b58…7273backed Pacers80c654.04$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.811650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mavericks32c642.5$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.221,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Mavericks16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Mavericks22c606.99$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.8385542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Mavericks5c600$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.121,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80b8…dac9backed Mavericks19c578.95$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-58%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f8d…a1e9backed Mavericks20c565.21$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.394918.4%9 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Mavericks78c554.99$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.8924554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Pacers79c550$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.511654.3%63 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mavericks19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe59…a131backed Pacers79c517.39$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11015365.4%100 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdafc…dbadbacked Mavericks20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009131.9%29 W · 62 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Pacers80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10029643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Mavericks22c460.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Mavericks23c455$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.351,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0e…4dc6backed Pacers79c430.38$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.3811956.3%67 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf94…51ccbacked Mavericks23c430$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.91050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Pacers76c419.94$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7914845.9%68 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x638e…9bd1backed Pacers76c399.99$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963060%18 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bb2…56c3backed Mavericks77c390$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.86425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-59%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x920d…bb46backed Pacers67c388.21$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.2111157.7%64 W · 47 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dad…0668backed Pacers79c379.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.753450%17 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.