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Champions League · resolved market

Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$270,652
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$292,038

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,652 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1a87…4e00backed Yes51c69,516$35,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,771.658740.2%35 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+81%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked No49c32,933$16,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,886.532755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked No50c31,577$15,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,788.471258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked No48c25,933$12,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,410.916058.3%35 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa074…49c3backed Yes53c20,191$10,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,7001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed No49c15,000$7,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,6531154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed No49c14,403$7,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,345.583551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No49c13,000$6,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,63017853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes10c12,845$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.4739842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…128ebacked Yes50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+36.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed No49c7,253$3,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,699.02955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e1e…1f0bbacked Yes52c6,693$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.931241.7%5 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick24cpaid+145%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0206…479fbacked No50c6,525$3,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,262.63728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Yes50c6,340$3,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,184.631741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No49c5,944$2,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,026.639350.5%47 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes50c4,970$2,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,485.064544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes50c4,961$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5005242.3%22 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked No50c4,812$2,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,416.154443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bbd…9ec2backed Yes49c4,055$1,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,987.191136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+410.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No58c3,978$2,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,676.5930754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No46c3,824$1,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,058.6836851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked No50c3,759$1,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,886.142060%12 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3af…829dbacked Yes50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfe5…ee97backed Yes51c2,643$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3e…c572backed Yes49c2,291$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.82616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-68.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc5c2…553abacked Yes50c2,261$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.72366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c70…232abacked Yes25c2,032$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003818.4%7 W · 31 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-59.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3aa8…3f8cbacked Yes50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.9719453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No49c1,920$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.5938048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbceb…bd96backed Yes16c1,846$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked No50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8005731.6%18 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Yes32c1,549$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes53c1,491$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.854766%31 W · 16 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No49c1,392$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.7110950.5%55 W · 54 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+80.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Yes54c1,376$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.041338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa703…ad40backed No51c1,373$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Yes50c1,314$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.431643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No71c1,223$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.7917665.9%116 W · 60 L+11.5wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8140…affbbacked Yes50c1,179$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8815…e147backed Yes50c1,035$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.51728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48023942.7%102 W · 137 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d0…8c14backed Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f58…9c6abacked No80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8773…302fbacked Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+22.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed No50c997.64$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.345343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No48c985.56$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.7344955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008452.4%44 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes53c973.87$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.1515250.7%77 W · 75 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Yes10c920$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.72035%7 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick27cpaid-23.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe1a…2c0ebacked No51c917.2$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.435100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+128.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No66c900$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30613232.6%43 W · 89 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+172.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Yes52c841.99$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.94475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No49c800$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41115442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Yes50c755.78$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.892250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f44…cfbbbacked Yes51c741.66$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes2c725.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.244924.5%12 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+157.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6848…b7ecbacked No51c705.88$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.882100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+63.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6f5…07f1backed Yes55c600$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5295…d666backed Yes55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x303f…801ebacked Yes51c509.22$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed No77c507.05$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.644269%29 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick69cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Yes52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2605347.2%25 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked No48c499.97$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.994351.2%22 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94eb…37e6backed No79c499.97$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.991566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x366c…6578backed No71c476.09$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.82842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No49c444.1$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.058652.3%45 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Yes50c424.97$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.491643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes50c419.15$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.5813139.7%52 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1884052.5%21 W · 19 L+9.3wins+0.23per pick29cpaid+261.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20412862.5%80 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Yes49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1966048.3%29 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1968653.5%46 W · 40 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3869…2d67backed Yes50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-43.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x318a…360bbacked Yes50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc20c…fa4bbacked Yes52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-46.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe483…b5a0backed Yes51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005149%25 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Yes51c391.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006170.5%43 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5a7…6a2abacked Yes50c391.44$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.72742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97df…3088backed Yes22c384.82$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.575349.1%26 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No49c381.21$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1128357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No48c369.35$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.346956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe219…d8afbacked Yes42c360.39$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503745.9%17 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes18c360.1$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7125735%90 W · 167 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Yes51c333$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.838040%32 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No47c329.03$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17617348%83 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No49c325.37$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.9418160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5eba…217ebacked Yes24c320$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.43043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14720133.8%68 W · 133 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83d…3324backed Yes52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.9wins-0.35per pick54cpaid-74.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdbc2…b496backed Yes50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-34.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf6c…a165backed No51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78c2…8316backed Yes51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4329…8018backed Yes29c286.53$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.11540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No48c286.18$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.4315153%80 W · 71 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd79c…a0e7backed Yes56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No48c260.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.0616836.3%61 W · 107 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeae7…1884backed Yes51c245.1$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked No52c240.38$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.382860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+25.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.