Champions League · resolved market
Will Bayern Munich vs. Inter end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f23f88224ee5a2c8bbadbb459293fc1e0e302a2f1f3e7a3073620b29825fa7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f33…e239backed Yes | 27c | 10,009$2,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,702.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…69a8backed Yes | 27c | 10,002$2,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7947…3781backed Yes | 27c | 10,002$2,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69de…34aabacked No | 73c | 10,001$7,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…7efabacked No | 73c | 9,999$7,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fde…b3aabacked No | 73c | 9,998$7,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 74c | 2,320$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.23 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,943$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 57c | 1,460$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.92 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 27c | 800$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 35c | 571.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 20c | 485.7$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.53 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked No | 74c | 483.47$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.77 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked No | 72c | 419.04$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 27c | 411.11$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 38c | 394.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d85…be2ebacked Yes | 3c | 390$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 4cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 72c | 383.53$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.18 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b51…9c96backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebdc…76c7backed Yes | 29c | 348.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6227…18dabacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 80c | 300.6$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.48 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc2…b496backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 72c | 272.26$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.23 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbeb…8b88backed Yes | 28c | 237.25$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc99d…5d6bbacked Yes | 22c | 230$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No | 16c | 226.63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.37 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +9.3wins | +0.23per pick | 29cpaid | +261.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6b07…2d28backed Yes | 27c | 201.11$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf061…2572backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…a1a2backed Yes | 28c | 175$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 28c | 165$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 72c | 157.14$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 71c | 128.49$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6959…084fbacked No | 80c | 125.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 45c | 82.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52cb…4d2bbacked No | 74c | 82.05$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5907…c60ebacked No | 75c | 80.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 72c | 76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…82f1backed No | 75c | 73.61$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb30c…4e0bbacked Yes | 65c | 69.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6243…dd62backed Yes | 54c | 69.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 65c | 66.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c71…0cf9backed Yes | 64c | 65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89f…6a27backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes | 67c | 56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 27c | 54.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3a…aad9backed Yes | 33c | 54.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd330…3e50backed Yes | 28c | 53.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…c2f0backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1218…366bbacked No | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +6.0wins | +0.54per pick | 37cpaid | +180.9%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…757abacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 75c | 41.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yes | 67c | 35.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 65c | 35.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…d647backed Yes | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -54%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4084…949ebacked No | 75c | 25.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 72c | 23.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed Yes | 61c | 21.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d70…b17ebacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…7aeabacked Yes | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayern Munich vs. Inter end in a draw?this page
- Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-08?No won
- Will Inter win on 2025-04-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.