NFL · resolved market
Browns vs. Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba5f25a50cb42b8187b1c341801f9a8e5a5aee19d74382ddbba563da5cdc01b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lionsof Browns, Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $689,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $789,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $689,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Browns | 17c | 100,430$17,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,026.45 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Browns | 17c | 86,313$14,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,673.25 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Browns | 17c | 51,880$8,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,819.61 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked Lions | 73c | 44,950$32,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,232.5 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Browns | 24c | 35,385$8,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,464.96 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Lions | 79c | 32,900$26,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,843.77 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Browns | 24c | 24,652$6,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,018.05 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Browns | 17c | 23,333$3,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,966.61 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Browns | 16c | 17,879$2,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,927.95 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Lions | 69c | 17,735$12,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,432.83 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Browns | 31c | 13,833$4,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,301.66 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Lions | 77c | 13,529$10,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,151.07 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Browns | 17c | 12,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Browns | 17c | 12,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Browns | 17c | 11,369$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896.34 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Browns | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Browns | 7c | 10,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.97 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…0aacbacked Browns | 17c | 9,688$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Browns | 33c | 8,849$2,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884.03 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Browns | 29c | 6,655$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.33 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Browns | 30c | 5,552$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.61 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Browns | 17c | 5,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Browns | 20c | 4,881$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Lions | 71c | 4,834$3,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.63 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Browns | 17c | 4,497$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.52 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed Browns | 17c | 4,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.99 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Browns | 21c | 3,553$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.37 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Browns | 10c | 2,944$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.48 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Lions | 69c | 2,904$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.04 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Lions | 68c | 2,704$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.52 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Lions | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Browns | 27c | 2,498$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.87 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Browns | 1c | 2,014$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Lions | 80c | 2,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Browns | 19c | 1,925$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.14 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Browns | 18c | 1,875$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.39 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Browns | 1c | 1,754$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…4d18backed Lions | 68c | 1,579$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.36 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Browns | 16c | 1,570$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.15 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Browns | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Browns | 2c | 1,439$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Browns | 19c | 1,222$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.06 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Browns | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Browns | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…331cbacked Browns | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Browns | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Browns | 18c | 880$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.3 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…955bbacked Browns | 4c | 802.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c62…fe5abacked Browns | 19c | 799.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Browns | 17c | 707.29$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.59 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8714…4750backed Browns | 18c | 611.11$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Browns | 17c | 580.66$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.71 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae8…a9c3backed Browns | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Browns | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Browns | 33c | 514$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.62 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Browns | 32c | 503$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.96 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Browns | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Browns | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 121 | 33.9%41 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Browns | 6c | 499.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 148 | 18.2%27 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…f395backed Lions | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Browns | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 297 | 51.5%153 W · 144 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942b…e25ebacked Browns | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Lions | 79c | 300$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 375 | 56.3%211 W · 164 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Lions | 76c | 263.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.15 | 162 | 75.3%122 W · 40 L | +17.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Browns | 22c | 259.83$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Browns | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Browns | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Browns | 19c | 233.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Browns | 17c | 229$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 304 | 42.4%129 W · 175 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Browns | 16c | 217.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf35e…94cabacked Browns | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Browns | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 278 | 35.3%98 W · 180 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lions | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x154f…9a12backed Browns | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Browns | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…d9adbacked Browns | 19c | 158.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0af…70a5backed Browns | 10c | 157.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…62c5backed Browns | 34c | 146.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b0…c712backed Browns | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…00fbbacked Browns | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f7…db24backed Lions | 67c | 125$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…9de8backed Browns | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.29per pick | 33cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd444…aa4bbacked Browns | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…9eaabacked Browns | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Lions | 68c | 108.56$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…8334backed Browns | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Browns | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Browns | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…1245backed Browns | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Browns | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Browns | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Browns | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Browns | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…20f5backed Browns | 21c | 85.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Browns | 18c | 82.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Browns | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0074…2be0backed Browns | 19c | 71.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…d771backed Browns | 18c | 61.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0f…4cbdbacked Browns | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe95b…d4d5backed Browns | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Browns vs. Lionsthis page
- Browns vs. Lions: O/U 43.5Over won
- Browns vs. Lions: O/U 44.5Under won
- Spread: Lions (-10.5)Lions won
- Spread: Lions (-6.5)Lions won
- Spread: Lions (-7.5)Lions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.