NFL · resolved market
Colts vs. Rams
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8176209c7972bd1b9c1f0ce07120361b34930978d225ae007461edb03aefd3b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ramsof Colts, Rams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,085,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,133,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,085,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 413 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Colts | 37c | 214,520$79,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,372.34 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Colts | 36c | 133,104$47,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,958.1 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Rams | 63c | 122,984$77,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,504.08 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Rams | 63c | 85,000$53,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,200 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Rams | 65c | 41,552$26,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,573.78 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x759b…2ab3backed Rams | 65c | 30,807$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,807.43 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +246.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Rams | 63c | 30,000$18,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,099.98 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Colts | 36c | 29,899$10,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,788.92 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Colts | 29c | 29,690$8,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,510.1 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Rams | 64c | 29,133$18,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,487.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked Rams | 49c | 29,117$14,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,922.28 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Rams | 63c | 26,670$16,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,867.99 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Colts | 29c | 20,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Rams | 66c | 19,299$12,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,649.43 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Colts | 37c | 14,566$5,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,389.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Colts | 60c | 14,246$8,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,588.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Colts | 35c | 14,110$4,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,938.64 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Colts | 33c | 12,953$4,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,274.33 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Rams | 71c | 12,719$9,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,688.59 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Colts | 40c | 11,500$4,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,635 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Colts | 32c | 10,804$3,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,408.58 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Colts | 35c | 10,596$3,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,748.75 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9af…6371backed Colts | 37c | 10,508$3,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,888 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -8.5wins | -0.29per pick | 50cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Colts | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rams | 64c | 8,998$5,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,239.27 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Rams | 63c | 8,723$5,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,228.74 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Rams | 65c | 8,140$5,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…ad12backed Colts | 37c | 8,105$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Colts | 21c | 7,362$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.24 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684e…1717backed Colts | 37c | 7,300$2,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,701 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66d1…f3a9backed Rams | 64c | 6,172$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.04 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Rams | 62c | 6,000$3,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.94 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Colts | 32c | 5,639$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.61 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Colts | 36c | 5,598$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.7 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Rams | 66c | 5,571$3,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.24 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f0…60dabacked Rams | 67c | 5,500$3,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Colts | 35c | 5,449$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.6 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca6…ca05backed Colts | 37c | 5,401$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Colts | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Colts | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.99 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x717f…769dbacked Rams | 63c | 4,761$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…bc98backed Rams | 63c | 4,760$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…2e68backed Colts | 37c | 4,600$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d48…d360backed Colts | 33c | 4,362$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Rams | 47c | 4,328$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.06 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Colts | 36c | 4,166$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.76 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Rams | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.97 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Colts | 32c | 3,866$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.27 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…4576backed Rams | 63c | 3,650$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…0bcfbacked Rams | 63c | 3,650$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5259…13f0backed Rams | 63c | 3,335$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4528…ce3abacked Rams | 63c | 3,176$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2e…568abacked Rams | 63c | 3,175$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Colts | 50c | 3,065$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.17 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Colts | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Colts | 35c | 3,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Rams | 70c | 3,000$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.17 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…dedfbacked Rams | 64c | 2,831$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.15 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Rams | 62c | 2,765$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.86 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Rams | 46c | 2,750$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.34 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Rams | 63c | 2,709$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.01 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4c…ce83backed Colts | 37c | 2,701$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Colts | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Rams | 62c | 2,550$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Colts | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Colts | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.98 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Rams | 63c | 2,450$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.5 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rams | 50c | 2,347$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.31 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rams | 70c | 2,270$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.15 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Rams | 62c | 2,189$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.5 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Colts | 37c | 2,064$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.84 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Rams | 54c | 2,056$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.66 | 211 | 51.2%108 W · 103 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Colts | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Colts | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Rams | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rams | 64c | 1,915$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.49 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c4…905ebacked Rams | 63c | 1,905$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colts | 43c | 1,903$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.96 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…372ebacked Colts | 37c | 1,891$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Colts | 16c | 1,878$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.48 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Rams | 64c | 1,875$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -10.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57f6…3aefbacked Colts | 40c | 1,799$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rams | 62c | 1,669$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.07 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10bf…c877backed Rams | 63c | 1,589$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.89 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d9…79b8backed Rams | 63c | 1,585$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Rams | 64c | 1,566$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.12 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fe…2d2dbacked Rams | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Rams | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Colts | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…1889backed Rams | 60c | 1,488$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.72 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rams | 59c | 1,408$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.01 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bff…e03abacked Colts | 37c | 1,408$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.13 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Colts | 34c | 1,400$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.4 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b1…0f83backed Colts | 38c | 1,397$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Colts | 1c | 1,372$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Rams | 78c | 1,350$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.01 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Colts | 1c | 1,332$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed Rams | 62c | 1,304$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.7 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked Colts | 38c | 1,227$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.17 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Rams | 65c | 1,200$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.2 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colts vs. Ramsthis page
- Colts vs. Rams: O/U 50.5Under won
- Colts vs. Rams: O/U 52.5Under won
- Spread: Rams (-1.5)Rams won
- Spread: Rams (-3.5)Rams won
- Spread: Rams (-4.5)Rams won
- Spread: Rams (-6.5)Rams won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.