NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46b20e8cce1e6f815bfa6ef4e2fdec4017c1a1892825f5190aac024db60d551f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Hawks, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $263,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $291,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 415 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Lakers | 57c | 13,444$7,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,817.93 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…e599backed Hawks | 26c | 9,791$2,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,540.93 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6c…bf6ebacked Lakers | 58c | 8,803$5,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,697.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Lakers | 56c | 8,363$4,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,646.61 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Hawks | 43c | 6,766$2,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,902.17 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…e27abacked Hawks | 25c | 6,623$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…3cbebacked Lakers | 75c | 6,600$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa683…b03bbacked Hawks | 42c | 6,489$2,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,725.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Hawks | 42c | 6,425$2,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,694.47 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hawks | 35c | 6,282$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.7 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hawks | 28c | 5,933$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Hawks | 5c | 4,849$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.56 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Hawks | 39c | 4,698$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.13 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Lakers | 57c | 4,652$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.64 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed Lakers | 76c | 4,360$3,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.57 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43b4…5389backed Hawks | 25c | 4,242$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd182…941ebacked Lakers | 75c | 4,202$3,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Hawks | 1c | 4,200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Hawks | 42c | 4,101$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.64 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Hawks | 42c | 3,934$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.33 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Lakers | 72c | 3,776$2,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.27 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Hawks | 41c | 3,586$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.19 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Lakers | 69c | 3,521$2,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.48 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…0e04backed Lakers | 62c | 3,497$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.82 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Hawks | 37c | 3,370$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.38 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Hawks | 42c | 3,169$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.6 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…794bbacked Lakers | 71c | 3,084$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.94 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0304…dcc7backed Lakers | 57c | 3,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.98 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Lakers | 78c | 2,628$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed Hawks | 33c | 2,502$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.02 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Lakers | 67c | 2,288$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.83 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Hawks | 23c | 2,049$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.89 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Hawks | 1c | 2,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Hawks | 31c | 1,700$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x589e…c63ebacked Lakers | 60c | 1,671$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.98 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0baf…e09ebacked Lakers | 75c | 1,625$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.26 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 75cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Lakers | 71c | 1,606$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.73 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…078fbacked Hawks | 42c | 1,600$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Hawks | 10c | 1,579$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.29 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hawks | 42c | 1,564$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.99 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…8ce6backed Hawks | 30c | 1,470$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -59%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Hawks | 29c | 1,427$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.73 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Hawks | 2c | 1,375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Lakers | 76c | 1,273$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.54 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Hawks | 43c | 1,250$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.5 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Hawks | 27c | 1,182$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Hawks | 13c | 1,180$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.4 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Lakers | 58c | 1,148$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.39 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…94acbacked Hawks | 9c | 1,017$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Lakers | 60c | 1,002$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.13 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lakers | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lakers | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Hawks | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Hawks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…7b91backed Hawks | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lakers | 60c | 1,000$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.32 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Hawks | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hawks | 4c | 996.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5391…e91ebacked Lakers | 74c | 982.89$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…c4e4backed Lakers | 76c | 946.16$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Lakers | 71c | 886.32$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.86 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…3027backed Lakers | 58c | 857.73$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.73 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x041e…aa12backed Lakers | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Hawks | 24c | 845$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Lakers | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Hawks | 30c | 792.23$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.37 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5730…a3f3backed Lakers | 59c | 786.75$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…c5b2backed Hawks | 28c | 728.88$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.09 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd715…e8f9backed Lakers | 73c | 723.65$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Hawks | 41c | 718$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.38 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Hawks | 41c | 718$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.38 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Lakers | 72c | 697.06$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.06 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Lakers | 70c | 693.43$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.83 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x757b…62c8backed Hawks | 42c | 601.72$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Hawks | 5c | 582.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Hawks | 30c | 581.55$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.21 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Hawks | 41c | 574$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.34 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa784…c046backed Hawks | 32c | 529.55$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.52 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2065…48f2backed Lakers | 57c | 524.06$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.35 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…d698backed Lakers | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff8…d95bbacked Hawks | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Hawks | 21c | 500$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.73 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb4…d00fbacked Lakers | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…d485backed Hawks | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Lakers | 59c | 499.95$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.98 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Lakers | 57c | 490$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.7 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Hawks | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…f21ebacked Hawks | 40c | 468.43$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.37 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a8…adcebacked Hawks | 38c | 465.56$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.36 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Hawks | 33c | 457.76$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.06 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0b…f974backed Hawks | 30c | 448.53$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.72 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Hawks | 25c | 404$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Hawks | 14c | 400$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Lakers | 57c | 383$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.69 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…7c15backed Lakers | 59c | 372.88$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.88 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x447b…6d25backed Hawks | 43c | 372.09$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Lakers | 56c | 366.07$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.07 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Lakers | 60c | 365$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Lakers | 57c | 357.16$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.64 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646b…256dbacked Lakers | 57c | 350$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.