NFL · resolved market
Jaguars vs. 49ers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ae4c85cc2ee3fe4ea7eb2545b05aee25ffd4f83367c371006942a5553566655
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jaguarsof Jaguars, 49ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,622,501
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,665,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,622,501 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 350 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed 49ers | 61c | 699,309$426,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426,578.42 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Jaguars | 39c | 438,899$171,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267,728.41 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Jaguars | 39c | 205,034$79,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125,070.48 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Jaguars | 69c | 123,499$85,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,852.19 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked 49ers | 46c | 122,339$55,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,802.42 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed 49ers | 33c | 83,439$27,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,244.04 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Jaguars | 39c | 83,283$32,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,802.78 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Jaguars | 63c | 80,982$51,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,617.09 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked 49ers | 61c | 80,300$48,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,983 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed 49ers | 45c | 65,200$29,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,484.35 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked 49ers | 56c | 55,000$31,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,000 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Jaguars | 39c | 51,200$19,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,232 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Jaguars | 55c | 47,106$25,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,146.98 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed 49ers | 25c | 39,110$9,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,786.4 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Jaguars | 57c | 38,574$21,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,641.58 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked 49ers | 28c | 34,665$9,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,790.5 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Jaguars | 70c | 26,252$18,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,979.33 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed 49ers | 28c | 25,254$7,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,186.73 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Jaguars | 53c | 24,846$13,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,708.98 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked 49ers | 61c | 20,000$12,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,299.97 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Jaguars | 38c | 20,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,399.96 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Jaguars | 62c | 19,170$11,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,292.39 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Jaguars | 40c | 17,635$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,635.31 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Jaguars | 61c | 16,542$10,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,478.36 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed 49ers | 37c | 15,324$5,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,657.3 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed 49ers | 62c | 15,000$9,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e98…1f51backed Jaguars | 38c | 13,477$5,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,390.66 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed 49ers | 24c | 12,960$3,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080.82 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Jaguars | 36c | 12,218$4,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,819.51 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Jaguars | 38c | 12,090$4,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,496.28 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jaguars | 64c | 11,596$7,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,227.53 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16e…4076backed 49ers | 64c | 10,756$6,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,883.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed 49ers | 41c | 9,185$3,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,721.09 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81b1…0f83backed 49ers | 62c | 8,007$4,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,964.62 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jaguars | 39c | 8,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,880 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed Jaguars | 38c | 7,674$2,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,757.91 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Jaguars | 38c | 7,049$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,370.51 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Jaguars | 40c | 7,000$2,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,204.41 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Jaguars | 64c | 6,975$4,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,514.14 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked 49ers | 43c | 6,504$2,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,767.18 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked 49ers | 60c | 6,491$3,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,894.43 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Jaguars | 39c | 5,591$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,410.41 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed 49ers | 24c | 5,057$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.12 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed 49ers | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Jaguars | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed 49ers | 27c | 4,881$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.88 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked 49ers | 21c | 4,797$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Jaguars | 63c | 4,789$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.92 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ab…341bbacked Jaguars | 70c | 4,270$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Jaguars | 60c | 4,094$2,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.6 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed 49ers | 39c | 3,751$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.95 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Jaguars | 64c | 3,579$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.36 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…d274backed Jaguars | 53c | 3,285$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.95 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Jaguars | 38c | 3,064$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.68 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Jaguars | 64c | 2,726$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.67 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed 49ers | 66c | 2,649$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.02 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Jaguars | 38c | 2,507$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.55 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Jaguars | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Jaguars | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.94 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Jaguars | 51c | 2,255$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.97 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed 49ers | 60c | 2,169$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.76 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed 49ers | 61c | 2,128$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.25 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Jaguars | 36c | 2,000$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.03 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed 49ers | 24c | 2,000$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8714…4750backed 49ers | 20c | 1,909$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed 49ers | 62c | 1,774$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -10.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed 49ers | 33c | 1,770$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.28 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed 49ers | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed 49ers | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked 49ers | 65c | 1,633$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.59 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed 49ers | 47c | 1,546$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.4 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fe…2d2dbacked 49ers | 66c | 1,515$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.41 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d48…d360backed 49ers | 30c | 1,474$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked 49ers | 1c | 1,472$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Jaguars | 37c | 1,379$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.67 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed 49ers | 62c | 1,365$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed 49ers | 1c | 1,332$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Jaguars | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.79 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa637…bacfbacked 49ers | 69c | 1,312$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.46 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed 49ers | 49c | 1,300$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…06ffbacked 49ers | 68c | 1,288$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb790…8389backed 49ers | 62c | 1,142$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.04 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa3…5154backed 49ers | 64c | 1,094$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked 49ers | 46c | 1,084$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.75 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Jaguars | 75c | 1,081$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.74 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked Jaguars | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.63 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked 49ers | 62c | 1,039$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.63 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb8…536fbacked 49ers | 21c | 1,000$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed 49ers | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed 49ers | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked 49ers | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed 49ers | 61c | 970.57$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.14 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb02f…0673backed 49ers | 20c | 850$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Jaguars | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.33 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed 49ers | 61c | 800$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed 49ers | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Jaguars | 59c | 767.02$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.05 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked Jaguars | 41c | 760$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.6 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…b14abacked Jaguars | 76c | 753.69$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.09 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed 49ers | 60c | 751.06$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.1 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jaguars vs. 49ersthis page
- Jaguars vs. 49ers: O/U 44.5Over won
- Jaguars vs. 49ers: O/U 46.5Over won
- Jaguars vs. 49ers: O/U 47.5Under won
- Spread: 49ers (-3.5)Jaguars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.