UFC · resolved market
Whittaker vs. Chimaev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1a8121ceb5610846bca219b13c75a9ef41f9eb253bd80fa50c766b9916fcfd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chimaevof Whittaker, Chimaev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Whittaker | 34c | 6,476$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.75 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked Whittaker | 35c | 5,911$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e65…0f1bbacked Chimaev | 70c | 5,394$3,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…8412backed Whittaker | 32c | 4,619$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.14 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 35cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Whittaker | 33c | 4,050$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.19 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b0…4041backed Whittaker | 46c | 3,500$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…9051backed Whittaker | 36c | 3,343$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf322…a2c1backed Whittaker | 33c | 3,029$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed Chimaev | 65c | 2,871$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.66 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecdf…6c07backed Chimaev | 70c | 2,833$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.9 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Chimaev | 66c | 2,758$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.81 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Chimaev | 67c | 2,579$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.28 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Whittaker | 45c | 2,525$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578c…9661backed Chimaev | 69c | 2,183$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.31 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…6e8ebacked Whittaker | 32c | 2,074$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.59 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…63abbacked Whittaker | 30c | 2,005$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.21 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6339…a0c9backed Chimaev | 67c | 1,928$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad4…fb70backed Chimaev | 70c | 1,813$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe657…9e01backed Whittaker | 34c | 1,785$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Chimaev | 68c | 1,668$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.81 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Whittaker | 24c | 1,573$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.27 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Chimaev | 52c | 1,555$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.61 | 378 | 54.8%207 W · 171 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Whittaker | 30c | 1,535$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.24 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9001…d9bebacked Whittaker | 34c | 1,528$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…44a5backed Chimaev | 54c | 1,458$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed40…4df6backed Chimaev | 68c | 1,450$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1b…753cbacked Whittaker | 35c | 1,449$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Chimaev | 71c | 1,409$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.13 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…23d7backed Whittaker | 36c | 1,399$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b12…79cbbacked Chimaev | 67c | 1,318$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282e…00f3backed Chimaev | 72c | 1,242$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Whittaker | 29c | 1,232$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.2 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x717a…7476backed Chimaev | 68c | 1,222$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe721…82f5backed Chimaev | 67c | 1,200$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…d67dbacked Chimaev | 72c | 1,135$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.38 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb3…e20ebacked Chimaev | 67c | 1,011$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcb…1c18backed Whittaker | 30c | 1,005$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…fc15backed Chimaev | 68c | 1,005$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Chimaev | 66c | 999.99$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Chimaev | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Chimaev | 65c | 999.98$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x944a…a9adbacked Whittaker | 30c | 999.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Whittaker | 30c | 999.94$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe86a…4e1abacked Chimaev | 69c | 956.72$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7001…8b29backed Chimaev | 68c | 953$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Whittaker | 31c | 906.57$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.38 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4901…f513backed Chimaev | 67c | 849.6$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Whittaker | 35c | 849.21$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe458…a937backed Whittaker | 33c | 811.59$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc0…021dbacked Chimaev | 68c | 786.17$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Whittaker | 37c | 779.56$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.63 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Chimaev | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…2284backed Chimaev | 70c | 710.12$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Whittaker | 32c | 699.95$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.99 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd7…5863backed Chimaev | 69c | 690.4$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x225e…385fbacked Chimaev | 68c | 670.47$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57dc…461bbacked Whittaker | 35c | 668.45$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed Chimaev | 67c | 649.99$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…0d6abacked Whittaker | 34c | 622.51$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a09…335dbacked Chimaev | 66c | 605.94$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.02 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db1…8e4ebacked Whittaker | 33c | 601.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Whittaker | 29c | 600$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 60cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…512bbacked Whittaker | 32c | 583.09$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…ef38backed Chimaev | 67c | 578.82$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2836…c511backed Chimaev | 56c | 578.72$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.97 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8903…63c8backed Chimaev | 54c | 571.62$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.94 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c66…bb83backed Whittaker | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Chimaev | 68c | 559.78$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.13 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Whittaker | 33c | 558.48$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0e…f253backed Chimaev | 68c | 522.32$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Whittaker | 31c | 521.97$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.81 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…2bacbacked Whittaker | 34c | 511.78$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Whittaker | 31c | 489.43$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.72 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17bc…514fbacked Chimaev | 67c | 464.37$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a2…9a5abacked Whittaker | 35c | 456.21$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb362…7d19backed Chimaev | 68c | 450.49$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe19b…b5e3backed Chimaev | 68c | 442.26$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…dd3abacked Whittaker | 35c | 425.94$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58fe…5db9backed Chimaev | 67c | 399.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc103…1138backed Whittaker | 27c | 354.96$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.84 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Chimaev | 68c | 353.25$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.04 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…c715backed Whittaker | 33c | 349.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85fc…f80abacked Chimaev | 69c | 347.71$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d90…85aabacked Chimaev | 65c | 345.08$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Whittaker | 35c | 344.65$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb208…d98bbacked Chimaev | 70c | 342.86$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…1676backed Whittaker | 31c | 326.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5861…66efbacked Chimaev | 68c | 322$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.04 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…92debacked Chimaev | 69c | 320.86$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b4…c276backed Chimaev | 70c | 319.51$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf384…7f2dbacked Whittaker | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Whittaker | 33c | 304.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf950…486dbacked Whittaker | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb88…6f68backed Whittaker | 35c | 302.74$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…770dbacked Chimaev | 66c | 300$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299a…890abacked Whittaker | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c54…82babacked Whittaker | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Whittaker | 32c | 288.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.48 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…ea33backed Whittaker | 35c | 288.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Whittaker | 35c | 286.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Whittaker vs. Chimaevthis page
- Ankalaev vs. RakicAnkalaev won
- Magomedov vs. PetrosyanMagomedov won
- Murphy vs. IgeMurphy won
- Topuria vs. HollowayTopuria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.