UFC · resolved market
Magomedov vs. Petrosyan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fe128ee861ab172296408e11d4c0a7c6046b533bdc51b6690398ca8370e5d77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magomedovof Magomedov, Petrosyan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Magomedov | 65c | 16,014$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,613.84 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed Petrosyan | 35c | 10,043$3,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,485.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Petrosyan | 36c | 8,817$3,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,183.91 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Petrosyan | 35c | 8,728$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055.03 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdf…6c07backed Magomedov | 63c | 7,632$4,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,801.03 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Petrosyan | 39c | 3,079$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.2 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Petrosyan | 38c | 3,068$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.83 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Petrosyan | 38c | 2,595$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.39 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…9051backed Magomedov | 62c | 2,564$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.97 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17b0…4041backed Magomedov | 65c | 2,500$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Petrosyan | 35c | 2,306$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.35 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Petrosyan | 35c | 1,878$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.2 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Magomedov | 66c | 1,514$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.15 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Magomedov | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Magomedov | 61c | 1,487$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.98 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x225e…385fbacked Magomedov | 65c | 1,431$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57dc…461bbacked Petrosyan | 39c | 1,430$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f3…8d6fbacked Petrosyan | 33c | 1,358$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578c…9661backed Petrosyan | 39c | 1,290$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Magomedov | 67c | 1,194$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.03 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…d67dbacked Magomedov | 72c | 1,138$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.57 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x537c…19abbacked Petrosyan | 37c | 1,005$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08bf…2fb1backed Magomedov | 61c | 1,004$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Magomedov | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Petrosyan | 39c | 966.48$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.64 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Petrosyan | 36c | 923.93$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.27 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Magomedov | 60c | 848$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.44 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 60cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed Petrosyan | 40c | 792.68$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Petrosyan | 25c | 775.69$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.55 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Magomedov | 67c | 748.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Petrosyan | 37c | 580.49$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.98 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299a…890abacked Petrosyan | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Petrosyan | 33c | 524.02$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.91 | 248 | 47.2%117 W · 131 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Petrosyan | 36c | 515.32$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.36 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Petrosyan | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed40…4df6backed Petrosyan | 39c | 487.18$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08d6…b079backed Magomedov | 64c | 467.12$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe19b…b5e3backed Magomedov | 65c | 453.99$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Magomedov | 62c | 449.98$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Petrosyan | 40c | 414.1$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa248…19d9backed Petrosyan | 35c | 379.97$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Petrosyan | 32c | 365.79$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.17 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506a…0e59backed Magomedov | 62c | 341.93$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99eb…c363backed Magomedov | 65c | 331.65$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c66…bb83backed Magomedov | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb362…7d19backed Magomedov | 65c | 307.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…a85bbacked Magomedov | 62c | 297.05$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2582…39d8backed Magomedov | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…770dbacked Magomedov | 62c | 284.51$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.77 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x614e…6c18backed Magomedov | 62c | 261.24$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…7b99backed Magomedov | 60c | 254.05$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0faa…1725backed Magomedov | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Magomedov | 62c | 236.84$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53e…e47cbacked Petrosyan | 39c | 230.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Magomedov | 66c | 227.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9de…b9a0backed Magomedov | 62c | 201$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Magomedov | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed Petrosyan | 36c | 195.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Petrosyan | 37c | 194.32$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2742…d04bbacked Magomedov | 65c | 192.31$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Magomedov | 66c | 175.1$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd7…5863backed Magomedov | 65c | 174.68$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1e…ba37backed Magomedov | 64c | 169.81$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…0d6abacked Petrosyan | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…23d7backed Magomedov | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…92debacked Magomedov | 65c | 155.38$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…4a03backed Magomedov | 58c | 148.88$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9989…30babacked Magomedov | 64c | 142.96$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7997…fc95backed Petrosyan | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db1…8e4ebacked Petrosyan | 38c | 131.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…334bbacked Petrosyan | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe033…71dbbacked Magomedov | 64c | 100.3$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Petrosyan | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88be…e565backed Magomedov | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9975backed Petrosyan | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5245…15c0backed Magomedov | 65c | 99.23$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb6…a68ebacked Magomedov | 64c | 99.22$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…7e80backed Magomedov | 63c | 99.21$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…13ddbacked Magomedov | 62c | 99.19$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c59…121dbacked Magomedov | 62c | 99.19$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…dc92backed Magomedov | 62c | 99.19$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b4…c4dbbacked Magomedov | 62c | 99.19$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Petrosyan | 15c | 99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 79 | 21.5%17 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…7f95backed Petrosyan | 39c | 98.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…3387backed Petrosyan | 39c | 98.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd03…cd21backed Petrosyan | 39c | 98.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ec…aca8backed Petrosyan | 39c | 98.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ce…5848backed Petrosyan | 36c | 98.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Magomedov | 64c | 98.25$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Petrosyan | 36c | 97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…1110backed Magomedov | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a5…b572backed Petrosyan | 39c | 93.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Magomedov | 62c | 91.41$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41f…5959backed Petrosyan | 15c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5feb…6aeabacked Petrosyan | 42c | 89.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85fc…f80abacked Magomedov | 66c | 77.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Magomedov | 65c | 77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf8…7f09backed Magomedov | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked Petrosyan | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe0…5e03backed Petrosyan | 39c | 66.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magomedov vs. Petrosyanthis page
- Ankalaev vs. RakicAnkalaev won
- Murphy vs. IgeMurphy won
- Topuria vs. HollowayTopuria won
- Whittaker vs. ChimaevChimaev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.