UFC · resolved market
Ankalaev vs. Rakic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafd2802604aefb2b16441920317b65c2c03f778d169cc3526030b71e3f21f5fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ankalaevof Ankalaev, Rakic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Rakic | 21c | 9,430$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.12 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Rakic | 23c | 7,179$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.49 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb75…0252backed Ankalaev | 77c | 7,132$5,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.29 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7001…8b29backed Rakic | 20c | 6,431$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…9051backed Ankalaev | 78c | 6,410$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.26 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Rakic | 25c | 5,741$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.19 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e65…0f1bbacked Ankalaev | 78c | 3,789$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Rakic | 22c | 3,004$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.09 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed Rakic | 22c | 2,386$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.06 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578c…9661backed Ankalaev | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Ankalaev | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.01 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Ankalaev | 74c | 1,216$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.14 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc103…1138backed Rakic | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed40…4df6backed Rakic | 26c | 984.62$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc0…021dbacked Ankalaev | 77c | 648$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Ankalaev | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db1…8e4ebacked Rakic | 26c | 578.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Ankalaev | 76c | 526.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c54…82babacked Ankalaev | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Ankalaev | 75c | 499.99$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa64a…627bbacked Ankalaev | 75c | 492$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…c715backed Rakic | 21c | 449.9$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.48 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94dc…c779backed Ankalaev | 78c | 400$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…23d7backed Rakic | 26c | 385.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Rakic | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a1…3af2backed Rakic | 25c | 377.95$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…1676backed Rakic | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1e…ba37backed Ankalaev | 79c | 350.58$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Rakic | 22c | 328.21$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.21 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Rakic | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Ankalaev | 79c | 291.52$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Rakic | 21c | 267.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x717a…7476backed Ankalaev | 78c | 259.41$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a35…4405backed Rakic | 25c | 241.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…770dbacked Ankalaev | 75c | 232.04$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.01 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292c…fb29backed Ankalaev | 75c | 220$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Rakic | 21c | 219.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa568…0569backed Rakic | 5c | 211.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…5b51backed Ankalaev | 76c | 196.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf7…746cbacked Ankalaev | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rakic | 13c | 186.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Rakic | 25c | 180$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…4a03backed Rakic | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc0…8c5ebacked Ankalaev | 77c | 164.12$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ab…d180backed Rakic | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Rakic | 19c | 144.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9989…30babacked Ankalaev | 80c | 130.69$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299a…890abacked Ankalaev | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…ab52backed Ankalaev | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2880…b493backed Rakic | 25c | 119.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46dd…7025backed Rakic | 25c | 112.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb19…8117backed Rakic | 28c | 105.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85fc…f80abacked Ankalaev | 76c | 103.74$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad97…dc4cbacked Ankalaev | 77c | 101.56$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Ankalaev | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 60cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Rakic | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Rakic | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 248 | 47.2%117 W · 131 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Rakic | 15c | 98.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 79 | 21.5%17 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…0d6abacked Rakic | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Rakic | 25c | 95.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Ankalaev | 75c | 95.36$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9975backed Rakic | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Ankalaev | 77c | 91.64$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f6…1cedbacked Rakic | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3c…bfd4backed Rakic | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5158…1fafbacked Rakic | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Rakic | 23c | 74.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3825…1cc5backed Ankalaev | 78c | 70.81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4442…d5c1backed Rakic | 27c | 66.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…8224backed Rakic | 26c | 65.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e50…e633backed Rakic | 31c | 65.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff2…2602backed Rakic | 26c | 65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Ankalaev | 78c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7d…f894backed Rakic | 25c | 60.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0853…5535backed Ankalaev | 78c | 60.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0896…daf1backed Rakic | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a95…45b6backed Rakic | 26c | 56.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…c5b2backed Rakic | 27c | 56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe39b…67e6backed Ankalaev | 79c | 52.17$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…c9b3backed Rakic | 27c | 51.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Ankalaev | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Rakic | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…1c70backed Ankalaev | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…ebaebacked Ankalaev | 79c | 48.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Rakic | 26c | 44.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Rakic | 26c | 42.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…02acbacked Ankalaev | 75c | 41.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357c…eacdbacked Ankalaev | 78c | 40.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed Rakic | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…e1a8backed Rakic | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf8…7f09backed Rakic | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4001…8cffbacked Rakic | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…0f9cbacked Ankalaev | 80c | 38.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3358…9072backed Ankalaev | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b9…8069backed Ankalaev | 77c | 37.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…41e2backed Ankalaev | 77c | 36.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Ankalaev | 79c | 35.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab45…11c6backed Ankalaev | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566a…881abacked Ankalaev | 77c | 26.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa1…f52cbacked Ankalaev | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ankalaev vs. Rakicthis page
- Magomedov vs. PetrosyanMagomedov won
- Murphy vs. IgeMurphy won
- Topuria vs. HollowayTopuria won
- Whittaker vs. ChimaevChimaev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.