UFC · resolved market
Magomedov vs. Page
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8962fd0a7de7a5ee52d2112b16200aa7bd7092e5410791684faee98cfc7ba38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pageof Magomedov, Page
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $358,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $440,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $358,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5cc1…1058backed Page | 38c | 63,079$24,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,884.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Page | 37c | 46,602$17,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,445.57 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3916…53c7backed Magomedov | 0c | 39,709$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef38…ae8cbacked Magomedov | 63c | 21,799$13,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,820.89 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked Magomedov | 61c | 19,551$11,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,921.86 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Magomedov | 62c | 16,000$9,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,980 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Magomedov | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd029…e7afbacked Magomedov | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Magomedov | 63c | 9,991$6,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,294.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…bdf5backed Magomedov | 61c | 8,530$5,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,207.61 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6b…0158backed Magomedov | 64c | 8,024$5,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,167.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace4…bd19backed Magomedov | 63c | 7,940$4,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,980.16 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Magomedov | 63c | 7,510$4,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,715.46 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…73c8backed Magomedov | 65c | 6,954$4,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,495.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…254fbacked Magomedov | 64c | 5,053$3,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,259.4 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8082…b212backed Magomedov | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3291…e502backed Magomedov | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.98 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Page | 37c | 4,782$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,030.68 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Page | 36c | 4,733$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.08 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578c…9661backed Magomedov | 64c | 4,671$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b2…f53bbacked Magomedov | 66c | 4,422$2,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,918.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd114…15d9backed Magomedov | 65c | 3,844$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,493.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf29f…5ccabacked Page | 35c | 3,803$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,472.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Page | 36c | 3,599$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,308.05 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Page | 52c | 3,406$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.08 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…ca7ebacked Page | 38c | 3,403$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd94f…8936backed Magomedov | 62c | 3,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f74…64f1backed Magomedov | 63c | 2,873$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Page | 34c | 2,816$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.76 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb71a…6fc9backed Magomedov | 65c | 2,692$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Page | 35c | 2,062$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.6 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Page | 37c | 2,022$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.07 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Page | 58c | 2,000$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.44 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Page | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.98 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Page | 37c | 1,956$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.97 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…138cbacked Magomedov | 66c | 1,818$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…fcabbacked Magomedov | 66c | 1,750$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Magomedov | 64c | 1,745$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.08 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Page | 61c | 1,513$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.14 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Magomedov | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.99 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Page | 35c | 1,404$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.95 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8003…9032backed Magomedov | 64c | 1,385$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…0fd1backed Page | 36c | 1,253$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0d…332cbacked Magomedov | 65c | 1,115$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8514…849fbacked Magomedov | 67c | 1,089$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…d9bebacked Magomedov | 65c | 1,067$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…d67dbacked Magomedov | 66c | 1,060$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…c185backed Magomedov | 65c | 1,014$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Page | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ff…5ec3backed Page | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…cb41backed Magomedov | 67c | 927.15$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Page | 36c | 892.2$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.46 | 226 | 53.1%120 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2753…2683backed Magomedov | 64c | 868.61$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Page | 35c | 835$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.75 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Page | 51c | 833$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.17 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646b…5112backed Page | 34c | 800$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…ae6cbacked Magomedov | 65c | 774.24$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Magomedov | 66c | 753.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc122…731fbacked Page | 37c | 723.54$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.54 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…02b5backed Magomedov | 66c | 716.65$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Magomedov | 63c | 700.88$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.55 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Page | 35c | 700$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Page | 38c | 700$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Page | 50c | 663.16$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.19 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Magomedov | 65c | 622.71$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Magomedov | 64c | 621.21$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…e7c2backed Page | 36c | 616.54$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.54 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Page | 36c | 605.71$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.71 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x513d…02e7backed Page | 35c | 580.63$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…8775backed Magomedov | 52c | 538.11$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.07 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff2…2602backed Page | 38c | 535.68$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.84 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3337…e789backed Magomedov | 64c | 528.75$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Magomedov | 63c | 525$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.75 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…12e5backed Page | 37c | 524.24$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Page | 56c | 512.5$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.5 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Page | 39c | 503.33$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.33 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…f6f9backed Page | 39c | 501.79$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.73 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Page | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Page | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Page | 36c | 499.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Page | 35c | 499.99$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.99 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed Page | 34c | 499.98$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Page | 33c | 487.82$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.84 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba2e…39b5backed Magomedov | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Magomedov | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Magomedov | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 355 | 64.5%229 W · 126 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Page | 37c | 447.23$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.76 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…8cc3backed Page | 47c | 428.46$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.46 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…fc69backed Magomedov | 62c | 405.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.15 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Magomedov | 63c | 394.82$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Page | 48c | 390.81$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.56 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…05e7backed Magomedov | 64c | 388.69$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Magomedov | 66c | 386.34$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.98 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…6bedbacked Magomedov | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.47per pick | 64cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…5b51backed Magomedov | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa1…f52cbacked Magomedov | 66c | 372.55$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…33c1backed Magomedov | 61c | 370$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…8fbabacked Magomedov | 40c | 360.68$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd9…c512backed Magomedov | 64c | 351.48$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Page | 36c | 344.94$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.31 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magomedov vs. Pagethis page
- Adesanya vs. ImavovImavov won
- Naimov vs. OfliNaimov won
- Nurmagomedov vs. OliveiraOliveira won
- Pavlovich vs. RozenstruikPavlovich won
- Ziam vs. DavisZiam won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.