UFC · resolved market
Naimov vs. Ofli
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b0883db7b096fca8ec61fdf8d2a45bb362b61a1712d7d7e59c0d7c1223090d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Naimovof Naimov, Ofli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Naimov | 77c | 2,928$2,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.33 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Ofli | 23c | 1,848$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.42 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Naimov | 78c | 1,407$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.54 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Ofli | 19c | 1,315$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.85 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x646b…5112backed Ofli | 8c | 1,310$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.42 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Ofli | 21c | 1,131$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.37 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Ofli | 23c | 885$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.55 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Ofli | 25c | 829.05$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.81 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Naimov | 75c | 823.26$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.05 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Ofli | 33c | 606.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5111…920fbacked Ofli | 23c | 500.79$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Ofli | 27c | 499.96$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Ofli | 27c | 465.93$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.72 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Naimov | 76c | 427.63$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.63 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542b…0d67backed Ofli | 25c | 410.41$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Ofli | 23c | 399.96$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Naimov | 69c | 360.21$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.66 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6492backed Naimov | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…41a7backed Naimov | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8de…e7a0backed Ofli | 29c | 246.28$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…74bbbacked Ofli | 22c | 237$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84e0backed Naimov | 54c | 227.43$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.72 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e2…6c7ebacked Ofli | 31c | 224.65$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Ofli | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Naimov | 77c | 206.69$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…ec05backed Naimov | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Ofli | 28c | 199.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…a0c6backed Naimov | 74c | 191.08$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29f…5ccabacked Naimov | 63c | 163.66$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4e…2111backed Naimov | 75c | 146.59$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…0384backed Naimov | 73c | 112.55$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Naimov | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d52…2a0bbacked Naimov | 73c | 79.77$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce8…83fabacked Naimov | 73c | 79.42$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…126cbacked Ofli | 23c | 77.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c8…d6d7backed Naimov | 72c | 74.34$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad5d…4678backed Naimov | 73c | 70.01$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Naimov | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b40…0268backed Naimov | 76c | 66.64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked Naimov | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…bf66backed Naimov | 73c | 57.21$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…a1e7backed Ofli | 25c | 50.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…a887backed Naimov | 65c | 46.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa887…128abacked Naimov | 72c | 45.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…bcd1backed Naimov | 73c | 40.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…2638backed Naimov | 77c | 33.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…f8fbbacked Naimov | 69c | 32.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4d…bf13backed Naimov | 70c | 31.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a1…eeafbacked Naimov | 75c | 30.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f58…9798backed Naimov | 76c | 30.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6c…94ecbacked Naimov | 72c | 30.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Naimov | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70d6…3b01backed Naimov | 79c | 29.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb497…33cabacked Naimov | 70c | 29.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf4…0053backed Naimov | 80c | 29.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Naimov | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefb4…9653backed Naimov | 74c | 26.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2771…05debacked Naimov | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedc…e1b3backed Naimov | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Naimov | 75c | 23.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1a…3c3fbacked Naimov | 74c | 23.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…4969backed Naimov | 75c | 22.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fde…0f98backed Naimov | 76c | 21.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b04…665abacked Naimov | 75c | 20.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ec11backed Naimov | 75c | 20.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4228…13c3backed Naimov | 78c | 20.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2edd…26d6backed Naimov | 75c | 20.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0405…2a31backed Naimov | 77c | 20.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21d…09f8backed Naimov | 76c | 19.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755b…890ebacked Naimov | 76c | 19.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012e…ea3dbacked Naimov | 76c | 19.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344a…ba39backed Naimov | 73c | 19.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Naimov | 74c | 19.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4846…de04backed Naimov | 77c | 18.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5e…3ae1backed Naimov | 76c | 18.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe73d…8c15backed Naimov | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…49eabacked Naimov | 75c | 16.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd009…c0c7backed Naimov | 70c | 16.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…919abacked Naimov | 74c | 16.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…51f9backed Naimov | 75c | 15.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cf…8c89backed Naimov | 77c | 14.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a49…c94cbacked Naimov | 77c | 14.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2507…3e53backed Naimov | 75c | 13.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Naimov vs. Oflithis page
- Adesanya vs. ImavovImavov won
- Magomedov vs. PagePage won
- Nurmagomedov vs. OliveiraOliveira won
- Pavlovich vs. RozenstruikPavlovich won
- Ziam vs. DavisZiam won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.