UFC · resolved market
Pavlovich vs. Rozenstruik
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfab425fe8fe54ac02e0c9d9f7b7a478650e2098ca1f61f9cca7a23e076225ddd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pavlovichof Pavlovich, Rozenstruik
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xace4…bd19backed Pavlovich | 73c | 6,894$5,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.21 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Rozenstruik | 27c | 5,641$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.17 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Rozenstruik | 30c | 3,100$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.5 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked Pavlovich | 70c | 2,839$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.78 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646b…5112backed Rozenstruik | 2c | 2,500$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rozenstruik | 30c | 2,293$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.77 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Rozenstruik | 27c | 1,778$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.91 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Pavlovich | 70c | 1,661$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.77 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Pavlovich | 74c | 1,400$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.63 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d70…9a6fbacked Pavlovich | 73c | 1,165$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Rozenstruik | 29c | 1,050$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.4 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…6bedbacked Pavlovich | 74c | 1,014$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.47per pick | 64cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Pavlovich | 69c | 1,010$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.1 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb71a…6fc9backed Rozenstruik | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rozenstruik | 27c | 999.98$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Rozenstruik | 27c | 999.93$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.98 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…d67dbacked Pavlovich | 73c | 957.95$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.95 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Rozenstruik | 29c | 915.26$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.42 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Rozenstruik | 26c | 854.15$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.48 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Pavlovich | 78c | 804.63$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.32 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…12e5backed Rozenstruik | 4c | 723.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…ae6cbacked Pavlovich | 70c | 714.83$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Pavlovich | 69c | 577.65$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.78 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Rozenstruik | 27c | 519.29$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.34 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Rozenstruik | 19c | 516.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Rozenstruik | 31c | 507.1$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Rozenstruik | 27c | 499.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Pavlovich | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Pavlovich | 73c | 376.01$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.01 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Rozenstruik | 28c | 364.63$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.46 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Rozenstruik | 30c | 334.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7556…f7e4backed Rozenstruik | 28c | 328.55$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a6…a5e5backed Rozenstruik | 28c | 324.17$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Pavlovich | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Rozenstruik | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Rozenstruik | 25c | 299.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Pavlovich | 71c | 289.97$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.89 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Pavlovich | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed Pavlovich | 75c | 267.45$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.93 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 63cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…e52fbacked Pavlovich | 73c | 261.66$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f1…8d27backed Rozenstruik | 28c | 256.32$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab6…92d0backed Rozenstruik | 28c | 251.89$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Pavlovich | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Rozenstruik | 27c | 231.84$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7c54…82babacked Pavlovich | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Pavlovich | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…8cc3backed Rozenstruik | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed Pavlovich | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Pavlovich | 72c | 189.98$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.64 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Rozenstruik | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Pavlovich | 71c | 174.51$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ff…5ec3backed Rozenstruik | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03d1…f0a3backed Pavlovich | 73c | 167.11$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ef…03efbacked Pavlovich | 74c | 163.51$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Rozenstruik | 27c | 147.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa696…90b9backed Pavlovich | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…a9ccbacked Pavlovich | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc64…fc2bbacked Pavlovich | 73c | 139.73$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9d…2461backed Pavlovich | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…126cbacked Rozenstruik | 19c | 129.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Pavlovich | 74c | 121.62$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d5…ddebbacked Pavlovich | 75c | 116.71$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc01a…879abacked Rozenstruik | 27c | 114.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rozenstruik | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…4c5abacked Pavlovich | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…ec05backed Pavlovich | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa046…00c7backed Rozenstruik | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Rozenstruik | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6492backed Pavlovich | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefca…bf2dbacked Pavlovich | 73c | 96.3$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Pavlovich | 73c | 85.19$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked Pavlovich | 78c | 83.57$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221b…5125backed Pavlovich | 75c | 82.4$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22e…039fbacked Pavlovich | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e173backed Pavlovich | 74c | 81.96$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeef1…16bebacked Pavlovich | 73c | 81.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff2…2602backed Pavlovich | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6358…71c2backed Pavlovich | 70c | 78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…41a7backed Rozenstruik | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…49b4backed Pavlovich | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2fdbbacked Pavlovich | 73c | 69.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9528…8c40backed Pavlovich | 73c | 69.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…f01fbacked Pavlovich | 73c | 67.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 72cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…49b2backed Pavlovich | 73c | 67.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…0fd1backed Pavlovich | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b54…4f17backed Pavlovich | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb9…1e95backed Pavlovich | 73c | 66.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…4acebacked Pavlovich | 73c | 63.56$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…3c10backed Pavlovich | 73c | 63.41$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…254fbacked Pavlovich | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba72…1d47backed Pavlovich | 73c | 58.82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…3ef8backed Rozenstruik | 28c | 55.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc00…122dbacked Pavlovich | 72c | 55.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…c9b3backed Pavlovich | 73c | 55.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x652c…3ea0backed Pavlovich | 75c | 53.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c35…6879backed Rozenstruik | 27c | 53.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…f95ebacked Rozenstruik | 31c | 52.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…68a5backed Rozenstruik | 27c | 51.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Pavlovich | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -7.4wins | -0.49per pick | 56cpaid | -90.6%equal weight | 29-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x43e4…fd34backed Pavlovich | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pavlovich vs. Rozenstruikthis page
- Adesanya vs. ImavovImavov won
- Magomedov vs. PagePage won
- Naimov vs. OfliNaimov won
- Nurmagomedov vs. OliveiraOliveira won
- Ziam vs. DavisZiam won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.