UFC · resolved market
Ziam vs. Davis
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc35229d3aedafca242397b2035267c5cbbeb6fdc57c15f4c5c944fa7da54b776
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ziamof Ziam, Davis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Ziam | 44c | 16,073$7,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,926.66 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Davis | 55c | 8,954$4,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,924.7 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Davis | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.97 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Davis | 29c | 1,962$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.43 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Ziam | 56c | 1,869$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.5 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Ziam | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.2 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Davis | 53c | 999.97$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.99 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Davis | 56c | 911.59$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.34 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Davis | 57c | 759.12$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.79 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Davis | 56c | 739$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.77 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…d13cbacked Davis | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Ziam | 45c | 667$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.85 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Ziam | 65c | 656.83$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.62 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Davis | 57c | 631.58$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Ziam | 68c | 565.85$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.48 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb71a…6fc9backed Davis | 54c | 494$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6492backed Ziam | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4506…3dd1backed Davis | 13c | 382.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Davis | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Davis | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Ziam | 57c | 349.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.66 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Davis | 33c | 333$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Davis | 56c | 308.75$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.29 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Ziam | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Davis | 57c | 280.7$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked Ziam | 42c | 261.42$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.62 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6572…0412backed Ziam | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Ziam | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Ziam | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Davis | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…4f84backed Davis | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa046…00c7backed Davis | 18c | 199.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…126cbacked Ziam | 44c | 198.41$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.11 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ff…5ec3backed Ziam | 44c | 186.7$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25a6…f95dbacked Davis | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5a…72c2backed Ziam | 64c | 155.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…bd78backed Davis | 29c | 150$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Ziam | 44c | 134$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.04 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Ziam | 71c | 112.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17db…9cd3backed Ziam | 47c | 107.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.36 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…ec05backed Davis | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…6c13backed Davis | 57c | 88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8c…28dbbacked Ziam | 43c | 85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e4…96b0backed Davis | 57c | 79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd348…22c4backed Davis | 55c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…b387backed Ziam | 44c | 72.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3916…53c7backed Ziam | 44c | 68.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf290…efb9backed Ziam | 43c | 66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29fc…e36cbacked Ziam | 43c | 65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked Ziam | 79c | 61.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…8ef1backed Davis | 54c | 57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd125…30e7backed Ziam | 42c | 56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +136.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b1…918bbacked Davis | 56c | 54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…a0cdbacked Ziam | 44c | 54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Davis | 55c | 52.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…4c5abacked Davis | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1247…9ce9backed Davis | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Ziam | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…c0cdbacked Davis | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 38cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2e…515cbacked Ziam | 44c | 44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb1…dd7abacked Ziam | 43c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf039…9eb2backed Ziam | 43c | 39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc8…00f1backed Davis | 57c | 39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f74…c430backed Davis | 57c | 37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Ziam | 44c | 36.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…06cfbacked Ziam | 42c | 35.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…2cf1backed Davis | 57c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e0…ba4bbacked Davis | 57c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2d…3102backed Davis | 57c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…9397backed Ziam | 43c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…dd54backed Davis | 57c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…d1acbacked Davis | 57c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf4…e648backed Ziam | 43c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…afecbacked Davis | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59c…65d2backed Davis | 40c | 26.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea9…a996backed Davis | 56c | 25.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Ziam | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a5…6638backed Davis | 57c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0c…74d7backed Davis | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…c40cbacked Davis | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Ziam | 62c | 17.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ziam vs. Davisthis page
- Adesanya vs. ImavovImavov won
- Magomedov vs. PagePage won
- Naimov vs. OfliNaimov won
- Nurmagomedov vs. OliveiraOliveira won
- Pavlovich vs. RozenstruikPavlovich won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.