UFC · resolved market
Adesanya vs. Imavov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b7e4cd09ca1409fa4b90d8e9abbd9cecf5b8e88781691f8429a65cecfbade0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imavovof Adesanya, Imavov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $273,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $285,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Imavov | 40c | 59,356$23,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,396.15 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef38…ae8cbacked Imavov | 41c | 47,413$19,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,846.36 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Adesanya | 60c | 42,890$25,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,752.99 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Adesanya | 59c | 21,401$12,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,549.67 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…1058backed Adesanya | 60c | 18,523$11,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,137.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Imavov | 39c | 17,839$6,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,914.48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…de17backed Adesanya | 62c | 16,585$10,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,254.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Imavov | 40c | 15,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked Adesanya | 57c | 10,013$5,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,707.46 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578c…9661backed Adesanya | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace4…bd19backed Adesanya | 60c | 8,333$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.79 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2753…2683backed Adesanya | 60c | 6,307$3,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,784.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Adesanya | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Imavov | 40c | 4,935$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,977.6 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Imavov | 39c | 4,462$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,721.78 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Adesanya | 59c | 4,232$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,495.51 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3291…e502backed Imavov | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.96 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Adesanya | 60c | 3,250$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Imavov | 39c | 3,012$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.62 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Adesanya | 20c | 2,999$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.01 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Adesanya | 71c | 2,353$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.34 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Imavov | 39c | 2,305$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.9 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d70…9a6fbacked Adesanya | 60c | 2,182$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Adesanya | 57c | 2,152$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.57 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Adesanya | 59c | 2,119$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.97 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Imavov | 42c | 2,050$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.99 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Imavov | 39c | 2,015$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.6 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Imavov | 29c | 2,010$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.1 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…bdf5backed Adesanya | 70c | 1,930$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Imavov | 39c | 1,799$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.86 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…4982backed Adesanya | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…2040backed Imavov | 41c | 1,687$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b2…7c50backed Adesanya | 62c | 1,627$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Adesanya | 58c | 1,611$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.38 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…12e5backed Adesanya | 59c | 1,570$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Imavov | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…0fd1backed Adesanya | 16c | 1,333$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…6bedbacked Adesanya | 59c | 1,264$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.47per pick | 64cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…d67dbacked Adesanya | 60c | 1,167$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…e7c2backed Adesanya | 59c | 1,101$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Imavov | 30c | 1,067$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.67 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Adesanya | 58c | 1,047$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.26 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Imavov | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…0ef4backed Imavov | 30c | 1,000$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Adesanya | 58c | 900$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Imavov | 40c | 899$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.99 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Adesanya | 60c | 871.17$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.07 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…db8ebacked Adesanya | 58c | 860.24$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Adesanya | 60c | 843.01$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…6c83backed Adesanya | 62c | 804.84$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…d13cbacked Adesanya | 62c | 801.48$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x900d…2961backed Adesanya | 59c | 787.44$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5a…bf73backed Imavov | 30c | 733.33$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.33 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Imavov | 39c | 727.04$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.69 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Imavov | 74c | 723.44$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.47 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Imavov | 40c | 720$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.2 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Imavov | 40c | 688.11$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.42 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03d1…f0a3backed Adesanya | 59c | 682.93$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Imavov | 39c | 663.51$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.74 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Imavov | 40c | 625.92$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.92 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Adesanya | 59c | 623.55$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.89 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Adesanya | 59c | 610.17$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…5b51backed Adesanya | 59c | 593.22$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Imavov | 40c | 576.86$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.86 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9256…1e12backed Adesanya | 60c | 548.23$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Imavov | 41c | 524.76$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.61 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…2149backed Imavov | 42c | 523.81$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.81 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Adesanya | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…b02dbacked Adesanya | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Imavov | 36c | 499.96$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.97 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…34ecbacked Adesanya | 60c | 461.98$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.19 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Adesanya | 60c | 444.33$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.6 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…af0dbacked Adesanya | 58c | 412.45$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.22 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0707…9142backed Adesanya | 62c | 410.52$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.54 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Adesanya | 60c | 408.33$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce4…106bbacked Adesanya | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Adesanya | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Imavov | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Adesanya | 59c | 400$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9083…d27bbacked Adesanya | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 151 | 39.7%60 W · 91 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0526…e8cabacked Imavov | 42c | 388.83$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Imavov | 39c | 384.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…95fbbacked Adesanya | 59c | 369$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.71 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -7.4wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Adesanya | 59c | 350$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.5 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Adesanya | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Adesanya | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Adesanya | 60c | 335$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafd…dd54backed Adesanya | 60c | 334.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ff…5ec3backed Adesanya | 59c | 333.9$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a47…ab43backed Adesanya | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba2e…39b5backed Adesanya | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Adesanya | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed Adesanya | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Imavov | 38c | 299.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.49 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Imavov | 40c | 287.5$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Adesanya | 59c | 279.18$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.4 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Imavov | 41c | 276$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.72 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Imavov | 41c | 275$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.5 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.36per pick | 55cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Adesanya | 59c | 271.19$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Imavov | 37c | 267.42$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.54 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Adesanya vs. Imavovthis page
- Magomedov vs. PagePage won
- Naimov vs. OfliNaimov won
- Nurmagomedov vs. OliveiraOliveira won
- Pavlovich vs. RozenstruikPavlovich won
- Ziam vs. DavisZiam won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.