Champions League · resolved market
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-10-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x971b14ff03996a43df007e51fa2a67602b350ce6aded880932cfbe5359dad13c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $278,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $278,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 15c | 42,274$6,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,386.11 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Yes | 16c | 38,643$6,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,046.86 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 5c | 19,166$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.3 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 15c | 10,119$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.07 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 15c | 9,999$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.92 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 14c | 6,999$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.8 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed Yes | 16c | 6,131$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 5,638$4,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.4 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 17c | 5,468$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.51 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 28c | 5,299$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.52 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 15c | 4,314$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Yes | 15c | 4,010$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.77 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 18c | 4,000$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.66 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 15c | 3,730$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.5 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…e181backed Yes | 16c | 2,884$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.45 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 15c | 2,682$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.3 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Yes | 15c | 2,400$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 16c | 2,250$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 15c | 1,871$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.67 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes | 16c | 1,563$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ef…468bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,505$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 15c | 1,233$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…ed14backed Yes | 16c | 1,050$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 15c | 1,020$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.98 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…3b03backed Yes | 13c | 999.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 15c | 971.93$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.79 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…be29backed Yes | 17c | 888.24$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…4b53backed Yes | 17c | 883.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 7c | 799.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc732…097bbacked Yes | 16c | 788.25$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…86f3backed Yes | 15c | 766.27$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Yes | 15c | 650$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe81f…0c92backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…a584backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b30…30cfbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd532…f70dbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97b…a5c4backed Yes | 16c | 620.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0f…a1acbacked Yes | 15c | 605.47$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.82 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 15c | 599.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 16c | 570$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 14c | 563.17$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 96 | 24%23 W · 73 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Yes | 14c | 528.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4a…14d2backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…2398backed Yes | 15c | 499.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1909…c3c6backed Yes | 16c | 463.94$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5218…712bbacked Yes | 18c | 450$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 15c | 445$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Yes | 16c | 437.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 16c | 417.56$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.81 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf32…aecbbacked Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes | 17c | 352.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes | 15c | 350$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…8c29backed Yes | 16c | 344.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 18c | 333.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fc…d087backed Yes | 16c | 331.41$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b5…cf5fbacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8b…1743backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41c5…7d0ebacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 15c | 306.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b2…ea62backed Yes | 12c | 302.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 30cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x959b…35d1backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…1427backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf47…326fbacked Yes | 17c | 291.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…eeccbacked Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4091…726abacked Yes | 16c | 237.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9230…9e1dbacked Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…a660backed Yes | 11c | 227.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…867abacked Yes | 15c | 212.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf614…689abacked Yes | 15c | 203.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…b079backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf954…0517backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…aba8backed Yes | 14c | 180$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7e…1d5abacked Yes | 15c | 180$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41fe…d0d3backed Yes | 16c | 162.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3185…937abacked Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ca…792dbacked Yes | 16c | 155.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…625dbacked Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Yes | 17c | 148.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 16c | 144.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed Yes | 15c | 135.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe799…137ebacked Yes | 15c | 133.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…22a1backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a7…ecf3backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…9d19backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-10-21?this page
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?No won
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.