UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Saint Denis vs. Ruffy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87d31295ac1925a7e6e3a53a28aa88bbb54aa539c52e81f758e41667d05dd3bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saint Denisof Saint Denis, Ruffy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $290,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $301,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $290,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Ruffy | 62c | 67,272$41,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,468.57 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Saint Denis | 38c | 40,000$15,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,800 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Saint Denis | 38c | 25,767$9,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,867.95 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Saint Denis | 40c | 21,828$8,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,178.52 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc00…3868backed Ruffy | 63c | 17,051$10,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,762.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Ruffy | 61c | 16,348$9,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,995.99 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Saint Denis | 40c | 15,335$6,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,200.72 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Ruffy | 69c | 15,000$10,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,328.43 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Saint Denis | 52c | 14,880$7,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,085.31 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…c0b8backed Saint Denis | 31c | 13,955$4,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,608.96 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Saint Denis | 38c | 13,042$4,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,075.27 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Ruffy | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +291.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Saint Denis | 39c | 10,709$4,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,558.85 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…c7c3backed Ruffy | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Ruffy | 61c | 9,869$6,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,014.99 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Ruffy | 61c | 9,648$5,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,880.34 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Ruffy | 63c | 7,729$4,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,844.26 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Ruffy | 64c | 6,398$4,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,094.57 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Saint Denis | 38c | 5,180$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,211.76 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Saint Denis | 40c | 5,002$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,026.13 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Saint Denis | 36c | 4,693$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,003.52 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Ruffy | 53c | 4,685$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.8 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Saint Denis | 38c | 4,601$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,852.86 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Saint Denis | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Ruffy | 62c | 4,000$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Ruffy | 19c | 3,965$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Saint Denis | 40c | 3,772$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,271.85 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Ruffy | 59c | 3,323$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.36 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d622backed Ruffy | 62c | 3,299$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed Saint Denis | 36c | 3,214$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.72 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82b…eb73backed Saint Denis | 34c | 3,060$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb045…d4cebacked Ruffy | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Ruffy | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Saint Denis | 39c | 3,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.99 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Ruffy | 62c | 2,810$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.5 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Saint Denis | 35c | 2,794$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.16 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Saint Denis | 38c | 2,671$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.57 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Saint Denis | 34c | 2,575$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.99 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Saint Denis | 39c | 2,335$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.21 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d2…45eebacked Ruffy | 61c | 2,152$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.97 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Saint Denis | 37c | 2,050$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Saint Denis | 40c | 2,000$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Ruffy | 61c | 2,000$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.79 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Ruffy | 41c | 1,934$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Ruffy | 60c | 1,800$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Saint Denis | 42c | 1,571$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.41 | 57 | 75.4%43 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d8…012abacked Ruffy | 64c | 1,551$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Ruffy | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Saint Denis | 40c | 1,469$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +202.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Saint Denis | 37c | 1,419$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.73 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96c…40e1backed Ruffy | 61c | 1,374$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed Saint Denis | 38c | 1,307$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.44 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Ruffy | 62c | 1,290$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Saint Denis | 35c | 1,253$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.43 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Saint Denis | 41c | 1,222$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.95 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Saint Denis | 41c | 1,218$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.79 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…c0dfbacked Ruffy | 61c | 1,199$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.61 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Saint Denis | 38c | 1,152$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.96 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Ruffy | 11c | 1,151$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.97 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Ruffy | 61c | 1,141$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.01 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed Saint Denis | 39c | 1,141$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.01 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Ruffy | 60c | 1,042$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.11 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…4dc3backed Ruffy | 61c | 1,033$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Ruffy | 61c | 1,020$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.76 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Ruffy | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…fabbbacked Saint Denis | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Ruffy | 64c | 999.99$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0a…9a0dbacked Saint Denis | 33c | 999.98$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Ruffy | 60c | 999$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.4 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Saint Denis | 36c | 976.7$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.09 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Ruffy | 60c | 944.75$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.85 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Saint Denis | 34c | 901$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.64 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Ruffy | 61c | 899.99$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Ruffy | 63c | 836.26$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.43 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…239fbacked Saint Denis | 36c | 836.11$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.11 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8e…aaf5backed Ruffy | 60c | 829.57$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Ruffy | 61c | 821.74$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.48 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4dd…3046backed Ruffy | 63c | 808.5$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.52 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff3…d376backed Ruffy | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Ruffy | 62c | 646.63$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.91 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.34per pick | 44cpaid | +97%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…45debacked Ruffy | 62c | 634.19$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.2 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…0643backed Saint Denis | 38c | 618.42$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Ruffy | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Saint Denis | 47c | 581.36$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Ruffy | 61c | 570$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c3…d4b9backed Saint Denis | 36c | 569.47$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Saint Denis | 43c | 517.46$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.1 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6333…e00bbacked Saint Denis | 41c | 510.98$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.48 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Ruffy | 65c | 500.24$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.71 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Ruffy | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…23d9backed Ruffy | 51c | 431.64$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Saint Denis | 35c | 426.21$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.7 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…36fabacked Saint Denis | 65c | 416.81$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.79 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Ruffy | 63c | 400$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.03 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Ruffy | 62c | 400$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Ruffy | 61c | 400$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…ac03backed Ruffy | 61c | 379.83$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…5c56backed Saint Denis | 36c | 376.38$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.88 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…db55backed Ruffy | 60c | 371.82$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.09 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Ruffy | 65c | 370.37$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.55 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Saint Denis vs. Ruffy this page
- UFC Fight Night: Bannon vs. Hughes Hughes won
- UFC Fight Night: Bukauskas vs. Craig Bukauskas won
- UFC Fight Night: Gomis vs. RuchałaGomis won
- UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. FakhretdinovFakhretdinov won
- UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. BorralhoImavov won
- UFC Fight Night: Oki vs. JonesJones won
- UFC Fight Night: Patterson vs. Waters Patterson won
- UFC Fight Night: Sola vs. McKeeSola won
- UFC Fight Night: Sy vs. RibeiroSy won
- UFC Fight Night: Tavares vs. BryczekBryczek won
- UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. DelijaDelija won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.