TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Tavares vs. Bryczek

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bryczekof Tavares, Bryczek
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,701
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,625

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,701 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2b15…9b08backed Bryczek61c12,451$7,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,836.8829151.9%151 W · 140 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5172…0581backed Tavares1c12,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120342.9%1 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-73.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Tavares64c11,369$7,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,262.5114857.4%85 W · 63 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Tavares41c9,061$3,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,701.1510522.9%24 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Bryczek36c7,379$2,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,722.86841.2%28 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Bryczek36c5,988$2,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,832.573740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Tavares64c5,340$3,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,410.717752%92 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed Tavares17c5,322$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.7470%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Bryczek71c2,632$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.7553956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Bryczek37c2,441$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.5420233.7%68 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Bryczek35c1,972$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.9916049.4%79 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb277…0aaabacked Tavares67c1,780$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.581735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-28.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Bryczek36c1,420$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.0919544.6%87 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f0…58dfbacked Tavares19c1,262$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.78339.1%3 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick8cpaid+291.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Tavares66c1,169$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.6130964.7%200 W · 109 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Bryczek62c1,105$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.9413650%68 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Tavares45c1,009$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.118544.7%38 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Tavares65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65039959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd685…8be9backed Tavares51c1,000$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5058751.7%45 W · 42 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0466…d601backed Tavares68c999.99$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-63.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cde…5b98backed Tavares15c932$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8619.8%6 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick8cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Tavares64c883.65$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.486746.3%31 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bryczek32c805.42$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.6918453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb81…1cf3backed Tavares18c776$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.685012%6 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+272.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Bryczek32c755$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.412262.3%76 W · 46 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bryczek34c685.3$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.333253.3%177 W · 155 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x146a…36fabacked Tavares64c542.88$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3507552%39 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1466…23d9backed Tavares19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Bryczek33c500$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33523537%87 W · 148 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed Bryczek32c467$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.875955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf635…e876backed Tavares45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006645.5%30 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7455…93adbacked Bryczek34c402.37$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.5619531.8%62 W · 133 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Bryczek37c324.32$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.321947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65d4…4e71backed Bryczek77c299.64$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.361464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4dd…3046backed Tavares68c294.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Bryczek33c289.61$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.538939.3%35 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Tavares21c274.72$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4737754.6%206 W · 171 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc9f…45debacked Bryczek45c200.62$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.622045%9 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Tavares66c200$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13128743.9%126 W · 161 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35fc…db55backed Tavares64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1282045%9 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Bryczek36c199.98$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.9936745.8%168 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Tavares41c187.72$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4610148.5%49 W · 52 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Bryczek33c154.92$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.85455.6%30 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Tavares33c145.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9922334.1%76 W · 147 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Tavares40c142.51$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6315839.2%62 W · 96 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Bryczek36c140$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.648749.1%239 W · 248 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed Tavares46c136.91$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.216731.3%21 W · 46 L-9.8wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-37.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdb90…1917backed Bryczek37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1411540.9%47 W · 68 L-10.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Tavares63c129.95$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.873545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36bc…ec72backed Tavares25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015848.1%76 W · 82 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8393…f0aebacked Tavares68c119$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.92757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0174…f66fbacked Tavares58c112.46$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510043%43 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb575…2090backed Bryczek37c110.46$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.593737.8%14 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c79…15dbbacked Tavares64c110.45$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.69742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe239…14eabacked Tavares47c107.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.164151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Tavares68c101$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6811545.2%52 W · 63 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Tavares45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4511942.9%51 W · 68 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Tavares67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6736655.2%202 W · 164 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Tavares53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Tavares67c99.98$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4933948.1%163 W · 176 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd263…54a7backed Tavares39c96.68$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.543946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6149…dacfbacked Bryczek76c93.16$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.16450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Tavares35c89.6$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6119230.7%59 W · 133 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac1e…ea39backed Bryczek37c81.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0832431.8%103 W · 221 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc35…d905backed Tavares64c79.69$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512050%10 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d94…92c9backed Tavares65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502040%8 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked Tavares38c75.11$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.226354%34 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Bryczek34c73.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5311138.7%43 W · 68 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0186…defdbacked Bryczek37c69$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.474355.8%24 W · 19 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+45.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed Tavares38c64.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.828143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58ca…0672backed Tavares28c64.36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.34946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Tavares65c60.01$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9316736.5%61 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Bryczek36c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.456450.5%285 W · 279 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaea…a2b4backed Bryczek35c57.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ec83backed Bryczek62c52.57$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0122342.2%94 W · 129 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86e6…f634backed Tavares67c52.24$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359547.4%45 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Tavares65c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.59062.2%56 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78f0…c63cbacked Tavares45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.54052.5%21 W · 19 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Bryczek34c49.1$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4152252.9%276 W · 246 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2063…1eedbacked Bryczek33c45.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.233754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf66…e823backed Tavares65c34.13$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1824847.2%117 W · 131 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x320b…1a55backed Tavares68c33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.39650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe016…424bbacked Bryczek32c33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.448932.6%29 W · 60 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe65b…387abacked Tavares64c31.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.421010%1 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.35per pick45cpaid-86.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd201…0634backed Tavares64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206756.7%38 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f6…8160backed Tavares64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204847.9%23 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Bryczek34c31.15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5613647.8%65 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b0e…d596backed Tavares68c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.41560%9 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4045…3307backed Tavares68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe07c…551dbacked Tavares68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203438.2%13 W · 21 L-5.6wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-35.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x413f…67c3backed Tavares68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed Tavares64c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.81457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1c9…cf27backed Tavares64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbba…d41ebacked Tavares64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.9wins-0.35per pick54cpaid-65.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.