UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Tavares vs. Bryczek
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7500a2d34771e198ce754b8a7e8d0ecb2f30c7e44ebdfefd9f50b5e159a961b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bryczekof Tavares, Bryczek
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Bryczek | 61c | 12,451$7,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,836.88 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed Tavares | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Tavares | 64c | 11,369$7,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,262.51 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Tavares | 41c | 9,061$3,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,701.15 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Bryczek | 36c | 7,379$2,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,722.8 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Bryczek | 36c | 5,988$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,832.57 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Tavares | 64c | 5,340$3,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,410.7 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Tavares | 17c | 5,322$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.74 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Bryczek | 71c | 2,632$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.75 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Bryczek | 37c | 2,441$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.54 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Bryczek | 35c | 1,972$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.99 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…0aaabacked Tavares | 67c | 1,780$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.58 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Bryczek | 36c | 1,420$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.09 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Tavares | 19c | 1,262$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.78 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +291.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Tavares | 66c | 1,169$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.61 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Bryczek | 62c | 1,105$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.94 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Tavares | 45c | 1,009$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.11 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Tavares | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Tavares | 51c | 1,000$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0466…d601backed Tavares | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Tavares | 15c | 932$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.8 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Tavares | 64c | 883.65$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.48 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bryczek | 32c | 805.42$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.69 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Tavares | 18c | 776$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.68 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +272.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Bryczek | 32c | 755$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.4 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bryczek | 34c | 685.3$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.3 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…36fabacked Tavares | 64c | 542.88$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…23d9backed Tavares | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Bryczek | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Bryczek | 32c | 467$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.87 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf635…e876backed Tavares | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Bryczek | 34c | 402.37$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.56 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Bryczek | 37c | 324.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.32 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Bryczek | 77c | 299.64$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.36 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4dd…3046backed Tavares | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Bryczek | 33c | 289.61$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.53 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Tavares | 21c | 274.72$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.47 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…45debacked Bryczek | 45c | 200.62$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.62 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Tavares | 66c | 200$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…db55backed Tavares | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Bryczek | 36c | 199.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.99 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Tavares | 41c | 187.72$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.46 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Bryczek | 33c | 154.92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.8 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Tavares | 33c | 145.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 223 | 34.1%76 W · 147 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Tavares | 40c | 142.51$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.63 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Bryczek | 36c | 140$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Tavares | 46c | 136.91$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.21 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -9.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Bryczek | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Tavares | 63c | 129.95$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.87 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bc…ec72backed Tavares | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Tavares | 68c | 119$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0174…f66fbacked Tavares | 58c | 112.46$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…2090backed Bryczek | 37c | 110.46$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.59 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c79…15dbbacked Tavares | 64c | 110.45$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Tavares | 47c | 107.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Tavares | 68c | 101$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.68 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Tavares | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Tavares | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Tavares | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Tavares | 67c | 99.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.49 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Tavares | 39c | 96.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…dacfbacked Bryczek | 76c | 93.16$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Tavares | 35c | 89.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 192 | 30.7%59 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Bryczek | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 324 | 31.8%103 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc35…d905backed Tavares | 64c | 79.69$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…92c9backed Tavares | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Tavares | 38c | 75.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bryczek | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0186…defdbacked Bryczek | 37c | 69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Tavares | 38c | 64.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Tavares | 28c | 64.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Tavares | 65c | 60.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 167 | 36.5%61 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Bryczek | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…a2b4backed Bryczek | 35c | 57.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Bryczek | 62c | 52.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…f634backed Tavares | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Tavares | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f0…c63cbacked Tavares | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Bryczek | 34c | 49.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…1eedbacked Bryczek | 33c | 45.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Tavares | 65c | 34.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 248 | 47.2%117 W · 131 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320b…1a55backed Tavares | 68c | 33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…424bbacked Bryczek | 32c | 33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…387abacked Tavares | 64c | 31.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.35per pick | 45cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd201…0634backed Tavares | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f6…8160backed Tavares | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Bryczek | 34c | 31.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…d596backed Tavares | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4045…3307backed Tavares | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe07c…551dbacked Tavares | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…67c3backed Tavares | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Tavares | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Tavares | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbba…d41ebacked Tavares | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.35per pick | 54cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Tavares vs. Bryczekthis page
- UFC Fight Night: Bannon vs. Hughes Hughes won
- UFC Fight Night: Bukauskas vs. Craig Bukauskas won
- UFC Fight Night: Gomis vs. RuchałaGomis won
- UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. FakhretdinovFakhretdinov won
- UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. BorralhoImavov won
- UFC Fight Night: Oki vs. JonesJones won
- UFC Fight Night: Patterson vs. Waters Patterson won
- UFC Fight Night: Saint Denis vs. Ruffy Saint Denis won
- UFC Fight Night: Sola vs. McKeeSola won
- UFC Fight Night: Sy vs. RibeiroSy won
- UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. DelijaDelija won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.