UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Sy vs. Ribeiro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab6a43129f0cd1ae5fee650d64da2f849f2e572cb613e295ca1f6f83fe2d0774
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sy of Sy , Ribeiro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Ribeiro | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Ribeiro | 20c | 2,300$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.99 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Sy | 80c | 1,299$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.28 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Sy | 78c | 1,010$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.43 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Ribeiro | 13c | 630.02$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Ribeiro | 16c | 600$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Ribeiro | 20c | 500$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Ribeiro | 14c | 470.82$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.89 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…f6a3backed Ribeiro | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Ribeiro | 15c | 408.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.09 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Ribeiro | 16c | 406.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.07 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Ribeiro | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…23dabacked Ribeiro | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…6598backed Ribeiro | 17c | 294$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Ribeiro | 22c | 222$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 248 | 47.2%117 W · 131 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Sy | 80c | 156$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Ribeiro | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…424bbacked Ribeiro | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Ribeiro | 17c | 119.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 167 | 36.5%61 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Sy | 78c | 111$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Ribeiro | 16c | 99.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ff…5ec3backed Ribeiro | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…9093backed Ribeiro | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0186…defdbacked Ribeiro | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…ae46backed Sy | 79c | 54.71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Ribeiro | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Sy | 74c | 16.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…f80dbacked Sy | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb038…82d1backed Sy | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Sy vs. Ribeirothis page
- UFC Fight Night: Bannon vs. Hughes Hughes won
- UFC Fight Night: Bukauskas vs. Craig Bukauskas won
- UFC Fight Night: Gomis vs. RuchałaGomis won
- UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. FakhretdinovFakhretdinov won
- UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. BorralhoImavov won
- UFC Fight Night: Oki vs. JonesJones won
- UFC Fight Night: Patterson vs. Waters Patterson won
- UFC Fight Night: Saint Denis vs. Ruffy Saint Denis won
- UFC Fight Night: Sola vs. McKeeSola won
- UFC Fight Night: Tavares vs. BryczekBryczek won
- UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. DelijaDelija won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.