UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Bukauskas vs. Craig
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7daa386c2fadd7024b914d187bb21cc3904e14975557f25197a448d06faedfd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bukauskasof Bukauskas, Craig
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Bukauskas | 76c | 20,002$15,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,879.23 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Craig | 24c | 19,082$4,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,579.73 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Craig | 26c | 14,759$3,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,809.67 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Bukauskas | 74c | 11,584$8,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,011.77 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Craig | 1c | 9,989$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Craig | 25c | 3,100$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Bukauskas | 75c | 2,020$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.21 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Bukauskas | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…0aaabacked Craig | 27c | 1,878$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.81 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Bukauskas | 75c | 1,842$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.16 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37d2…45eebacked Bukauskas | 75c | 1,326$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.43 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Bukauskas | 75c | 1,200$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Craig | 25c | 1,104$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.08 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Bukauskas | 74c | 1,084$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.84 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Craig | 26c | 1,052$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.52 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Craig | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Bukauskas | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Bukauskas | 76c | 987.22$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.46 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Craig | 25c | 969.98$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.49 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Bukauskas | 74c | 921.15$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.16 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Craig | 29c | 873$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Craig | 25c | 852$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…5231backed Bukauskas | 75c | 818$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Craig | 25c | 726.45$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Craig | 25c | 643.7$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.92 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Craig | 26c | 588.44$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.99 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Bukauskas | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Bukauskas | 79c | 458.33$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Craig | 27c | 400$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Craig | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…45debacked Bukauskas | 76c | 397.17$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.32 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…f6a3backed Craig | 28c | 362.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bukauskas | 74c | 336$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4dd…3046backed Bukauskas | 75c | 310.63$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.92 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…dee1backed Bukauskas | 76c | 300.07$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Craig | 25c | 299.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.86 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Bukauskas | 74c | 273.71$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.83 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked Bukauskas | 74c | 250$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…e3ebbacked Bukauskas | 75c | 226.67$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bukauskas | 77c | 220.17$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…e4e6backed Bukauskas | 75c | 212.04$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Craig | 26c | 210.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.68 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9461…a76bbacked Bukauskas | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…23dabacked Craig | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bukauskas | 76c | 196$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Bukauskas | 77c | 189.79$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Bukauskas | 73c | 189.71$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.22 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…c514backed Craig | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Bukauskas | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Bukauskas | 74c | 149.98$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Bukauskas | 70c | 142$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 248 | 47.2%117 W · 131 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…cd5ebacked Bukauskas | 75c | 137.07$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Craig | 26c | 125.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Bukauskas | 75c | 122$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0635…0119backed Bukauskas | 74c | 121.62$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…23d9backed Bukauskas | 76c | 121.05$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Craig | 25c | 119.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Craig | 27c | 117.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc35…d905backed Bukauskas | 75c | 116.4$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…f634backed Craig | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…d596backed Bukauskas | 75c | 110$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Bukauskas | 75c | 105.33$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Bukauskas | 75c | 104.66$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Craig | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Bukauskas | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Bukauskas | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Craig | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac61…be42backed Craig | 26c | 97.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Craig | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2766…4c94backed Bukauskas | 76c | 95.65$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8306…ecc9backed Bukauskas | 74c | 89.19$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bc…ec72backed Craig | 25c | 88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Bukauskas | 75c | 87.69$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Bukauskas | 76c | 81.81$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0186…defdbacked Craig | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Bukauskas | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…b1fdbacked Bukauskas | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52df…9adfbacked Bukauskas | 75c | 67.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbef4…dbcdbacked Bukauskas | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…92c9backed Bukauskas | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Craig | 19c | 65.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -9.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…3f34backed Bukauskas | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0522backed Bukauskas | 76c | 63.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Craig | 27c | 62.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…07f1backed Bukauskas | 76c | 61.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ff…5ec3backed Craig | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9083…d27bbacked Craig | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 151 | 39.7%60 W · 91 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…6598backed Craig | 24c | 58.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7e…1fc5backed Bukauskas | 75c | 47.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Craig | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb4…9653backed Bukauskas | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f3…0a58backed Craig | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3778…8604backed Bukauskas | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Bukauskas | 66c | 34.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a18…ba41backed Bukauskas | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4045…3307backed Bukauskas | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x862c…9d40backed Bukauskas | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…32a7backed Bukauskas | 74c | 24.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…5c26backed Bukauskas | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Bukauskas | 70c | 20.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Bukauskas vs. Craig this page
- UFC Fight Night: Bannon vs. Hughes Hughes won
- UFC Fight Night: Gomis vs. RuchałaGomis won
- UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. FakhretdinovFakhretdinov won
- UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. BorralhoImavov won
- UFC Fight Night: Oki vs. JonesJones won
- UFC Fight Night: Patterson vs. Waters Patterson won
- UFC Fight Night: Saint Denis vs. Ruffy Saint Denis won
- UFC Fight Night: Sola vs. McKeeSola won
- UFC Fight Night: Sy vs. RibeiroSy won
- UFC Fight Night: Tavares vs. BryczekBryczek won
- UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. DelijaDelija won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.