UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Bannon vs. Hughes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5f49ed319087c7da4aa3187346e59db96b8ccb1b51899e90517b8e7d20325ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hughes of Bannon , Hughes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Hughes | 73c | 20,000$14,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.99 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Bannon | 27c | 12,018$3,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,224.57 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Bannon | 17c | 5,819$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.19 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Hughes | 75c | 3,393$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.33 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Bannon | 27c | 2,963$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Bannon | 24c | 2,500$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Hughes | 74c | 2,425$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.22 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Bannon | 27c | 2,230$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.14 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Hughes | 75c | 2,147$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.85 | 57 | 75.4%43 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Bannon | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Bannon | 27c | 1,982$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.14 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Bannon | 1c | 1,881$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Bannon | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bannon | 27c | 1,484$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.37 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Bannon | 27c | 1,131$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Hughes | 76c | 1,100$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Bannon | 28c | 999.99$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Bannon | 28c | 813.78$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.08 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…5231backed Bannon | 27c | 806.96$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.88 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Bannon | 22c | 743.5$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.85 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Hughes | 71c | 652.93$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.93 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Bannon | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Bannon | 25c | 600$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Hughes | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Bannon | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Bannon | 28c | 427.33$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.38 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…f6a3backed Bannon | 25c | 392.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…2090backed Bannon | 12c | 340$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Bannon | 5c | 310$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Bannon | 27c | 301.61$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.43 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Hughes | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Hughes | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Hughes | 72c | 280$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Bannon | 25c | 257.04$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -12.6wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…23dabacked Bannon | 28c | 249.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Bannon | 27c | 222$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Bannon | 26c | 215.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 324 | 31.8%103 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Bannon | 24c | 209.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Bannon | 25c | 202$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 248 | 47.2%117 W · 131 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Hughes | 75c | 192.18$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 367 | 55.3%203 W · 164 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Bannon | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hughes | 73c | 127.33$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ff…5ec3backed Bannon | 30c | 126.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Bannon | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bc…ec72backed Bannon | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Bannon | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…23d9backed Hughes | 72c | 91.67$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Hughes | 74c | 85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bannon | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c79…15dbbacked Bannon | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5c…0c50backed Bannon | 28c | 53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Bannon | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Hughes | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd201…0634backed Bannon | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…f634backed Hughes | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Hughes | 71c | 37.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x749e…8626backed Hughes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Hughes | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0466…d601backed Hughes | 69c | 16.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Bannon vs. Hughes this page
- UFC Fight Night: Bukauskas vs. Craig Bukauskas won
- UFC Fight Night: Gomis vs. RuchałaGomis won
- UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. FakhretdinovFakhretdinov won
- UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. BorralhoImavov won
- UFC Fight Night: Oki vs. JonesJones won
- UFC Fight Night: Patterson vs. Waters Patterson won
- UFC Fight Night: Saint Denis vs. Ruffy Saint Denis won
- UFC Fight Night: Sola vs. McKeeSola won
- UFC Fight Night: Sy vs. RibeiroSy won
- UFC Fight Night: Tavares vs. BryczekBryczek won
- UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. DelijaDelija won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.