TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Imavovof Imavov, Borralho
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$483,127
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$531,848

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $483,127 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 351 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93fc…34b6backed Borralho56c98,239$55,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,025.571637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Imavov46c39,519$18,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,253.5235253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Borralho54c29,724$16,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,050.771637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Imavov49c26,707$12,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,727.1814857.4%85 W · 63 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d04…7a5fbacked Imavov49c21,005$10,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,648.111478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.24per pick55cpaid+69.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdecc…9d36backed Borralho52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,399.9616951.5%87 W · 82 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Imavov45c17,988$8,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,980.385843.1%25 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Imavov47c17,054$8,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,028.4929151.9%151 W · 140 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Borralho56c15,000$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,399.986451.6%33 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Imavov42c14,891$6,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,636.8119154.5%104 W · 87 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Imavov43c14,878$6,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,480.613740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Imavov45c14,693$6,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,044.91353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+37%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Borralho56c13,736$7,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,676.053525.7%9 W · 26 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-43.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed Imavov44c11,760$5,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,535.475955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec57…e0acbacked Imavov48c10,163$4,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,268.99955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Borralho53c10,135$5,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,390.71825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Imavov43c10,000$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,699.9816049.4%79 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f05…c0b8backed Imavov46c8,344$3,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,505.883961.5%24 W · 15 L+5.5wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+27.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Borralho51c8,007$4,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,055.6312262.3%76 W · 46 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Borralho53c7,823$4,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,146.16450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Borralho58c6,904$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0007653.9%41 W · 35 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31d8…e99bbacked Imavov48c6,250$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2501662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+42.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Imavov58c6,192$3,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,627.485950.8%30 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Borralho46c5,793$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,654.96841.2%28 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Borralho56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80022259.5%132 W · 90 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Borralho56c4,779$2,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,668.431662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20a8…f004backed Imavov60c4,677$2,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,885.0620954.1%113 W · 96 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Borralho55c4,525$2,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,488.9237152.8%196 W · 175 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc82b…eb73backed Imavov46c4,495$2,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,406.6540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Borralho55c4,472$2,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,468.257841%32 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b8f…ef1bbacked Imavov44c4,449$1,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,491.36580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+28.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc3…2626backed Imavov46c4,360$2,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,354.398256.1%46 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b5…e04fbacked Borralho51c4,254$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.931450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd19e…fabbbacked Borralho51c4,225$2,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,154.651662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+39.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Imavov47c4,222$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,237.663066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x62e2…7b24backed Imavov48c4,169$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,167.641758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9246…2736backed Imavov47c4,163$1,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2011050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+67.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Imavov47c4,065$1,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,144.4417850%89 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd685…8be9backed Borralho37c4,000$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.978751.7%45 W · 42 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Imavov45c3,838$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,109.9713039.2%51 W · 79 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Borralho52c3,595$1,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.9317752%92 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf635…e876backed Imavov44c3,458$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,936.246645.5%30 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Imavov46c3,374$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,821.9112134.7%42 W · 79 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x476a…76bdbacked Imavov46c3,172$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.356262.9%39 W · 23 L+8.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf21a…b6e3backed Imavov49c3,078$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.42862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+62.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Imavov48c3,000$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5704953.1%26 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Borralho53c3,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.9716247.5%77 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Borralho56c2,783$1,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,558.561471.4%10 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.29per pick43cpaid+90.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb653…85a4backed Imavov44c2,752$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.272842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Imavov43c2,672$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.095632.1%18 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Imavov50c2,623$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.256349.2%31 W · 32 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed Imavov43c2,587$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.446248.4%30 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Imavov45c2,400$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32039959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb34…59eabacked Imavov42c2,381$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.9813044.6%58 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Imavov51c2,332$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.0425251.2%129 W · 123 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f4…55c1backed Imavov46c2,303$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.273100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+202.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Imavov76c2,234$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.9510447.1%49 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Imavov43c2,160$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.976533.8%22 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2d8…012abacked Imavov48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.333745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc405…e13dbacked Imavov48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+12.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Borralho52c2,075$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.75550.9%28 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96b4…884ebacked Imavov47c2,038$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.83666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Imavov44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1205775.4%43 W · 14 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Imavov44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12035826%93 W · 265 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Imavov69c1,962$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.4218145.3%82 W · 99 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Borralho53c1,754$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.3112541.6%52 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04a7…c0dfbacked Imavov46c1,701$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.763748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked Borralho55c1,667$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.181369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick65cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Imavov70c1,619$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.058544.7%38 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x486e…c403backed Imavov44c1,615$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.39850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Borralho54c1,607$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.9519544.6%87 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Imavov44c1,600$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89610041%41 W · 59 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Borralho51c1,563$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.1453956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Imavov47c1,543$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.5535664.6%230 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Imavov43c1,500$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85532545.2%147 W · 178 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0d5…66c6backed Imavov47c1,484$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1420…f1c9backed Imavov48c1,453$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Imavov43c1,450$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.520249%99 W · 103 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Borralho53c1,427$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.330964.7%200 W · 109 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Imavov42c1,427$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.518453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Borralho55c1,355$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.2913453%71 W · 63 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Borralho50c1,323$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.51827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x300f…d366backed Imavov45c1,249$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.83959%23 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xacd9…cb54backed Imavov48c1,221$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Imavov46c1,200$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6485362.3%33 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c0a…291cbacked Imavov48c1,156$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.253056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Borralho33c1,149$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.0810443.3%45 W · 59 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Imavov46c1,100$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5993151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd986…1320backed Imavov58c1,100$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4671850%9 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Imavov48c1,096$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5702540%10 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Imavov47c1,075$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.12231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x78f0…c63cbacked Imavov47c1,050$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.54052.5%21 W · 19 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Borralho53c1,049$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.046746.3%31 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5cc6…f0f8backed Imavov48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.671338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Imavov48c1,039$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.283732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Imavov43c1,023$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.016142.6%26 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Imavov48c1,001$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.911241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0466…d601backed Borralho50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-63.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x257d…aac8backed Borralho53c981.13$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5202937.9%11 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89d8…3aecbacked Borralho52c959.62$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.