Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-10-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x046b7c2ee709025fa3d42d792a46c87d4c8660ff09a573603c8da8ad3d493cd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 23c | 22,590$5,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,203.51 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 39c | 20,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,200 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 61c | 19,392$11,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,828.9 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 18,548$6,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,924.84 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 50c | 12,408$6,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,150.18 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 10c | 9,988$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.75 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 28c | 6,347$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.72 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 4,947$2,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.32 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 38c | 4,032$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,482.5 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 40c | 3,984$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390.14 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…8a9fbacked Yes | 78c | 3,135$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2c98backed Yes | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 36c | 1,795$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.19 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c3…3e00backed Yes | 40c | 1,729$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked Yes | 61c | 1,465$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 73c | 1,349$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.54 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 61c | 1,113$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.89 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 37c | 1,008$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.89 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 37c | 1,002$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.18 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 60c | 973.53$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.05 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 28c | 803.94$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.09 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 10c | 795.02$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.07 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 59c | 782.23$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.23 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…73b3backed Yes | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 35c | 720$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked Yes | 41c | 601.1$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 26c | 578$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.66 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 50c | 543.79$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.61 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Yes | 38c | 494.79$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.77 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 38c | 464$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.57 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…8d02backed Yes | 75c | 400$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed Yes | 39c | 382$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 19c | 321.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked No | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed No | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2933…2e06backed Yes | 68c | 242.69$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 78c | 238$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x989b…8864backed Yes | 73c | 226.39$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 40c | 221.53$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 60c | 221.44$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.86 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 59c | 218.24$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.06 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf920…4d4ebacked Yes | 40c | 217.68$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 60c | 200$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 38c | 197.37$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.37 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cf…f27dbacked Yes | 36c | 172.22$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…32a7backed Yes | 61c | 171.24$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 61c | 164.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.03 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Yes | 41c | 135.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.41 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -7.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5060…79c4backed Yes | 38c | 132$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689d…9b52backed Yes | 39c | 125.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.64 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 47cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…4f68backed Yes | 41c | 123.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503b…aa93backed Yes | 63c | 122.22$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 60c | 110$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 41c | 97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 62c | 96.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 45c | 91.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 50c | 87.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 60c | 78.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 36c | 77.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +8.0wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed No | 23c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2af6…b030backed Yes | 40c | 66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +113%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97b6…0acebacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 41c | 54.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4a…dbb0backed Yes | 40c | 53.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac5…28d4backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ba…134ebacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad12…5325backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614e…7644backed Yes | 41c | 51.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…235fbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6be3…bb12backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 35c | 45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…c715backed Yes | 36c | 45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa43…22f3backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca31…fc23backed No | 64c | 31.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f7…3643backed Yes | 40c | 31.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf880…affdbacked Yes | 38c | 31.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 58c | 30.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Yes | 63c | 28.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ad…fa6cbacked Yes | 59c | 25.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-10-18?this page
- Will FSV Mainz 05 vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?No won
- Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-10-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.