NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dd7e27497c590abe06ab1836fc9718dd4027ad1515bec9c6b2e8d6d2bd15953
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,120,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,196,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,120,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 575 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Nuggets | 5c | 276,279$13,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,166 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Thunder | 70c | 129,806$91,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,441.66 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Nuggets | 24c | 94,762$23,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,020 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Thunder | 76c | 84,114$64,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,923.81 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Nuggets | 30c | 66,683$19,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,987.39 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Nuggets | 29c | 59,596$17,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,282.95 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Nuggets | 23c | 50,000$11,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,700 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…1d0abacked Nuggets | 30c | 47,677$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets | 29c | 43,864$12,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,558.13 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Thunder | 71c | 33,222$23,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,634.26 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Thunder | 67c | 32,324$21,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,675.85 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Nuggets | 31c | 30,261$9,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,230.27 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Thunder | 68c | 23,244$15,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,358.56 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nuggets | 35c | 21,930$7,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,630.22 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997e…2d75backed Nuggets | 33c | 20,982$7,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,026.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Thunder | 69c | 20,538$14,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,321.33 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Nuggets | 18c | 18,970$3,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,484.9 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Nuggets | 29c | 18,845$5,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,464.91 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Nuggets | 34c | 17,998$6,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,039.04 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nuggets | 38c | 17,184$6,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,471.34 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Nuggets | 5c | 16,275$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.9 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Nuggets | 0c | 16,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…265cbacked Thunder | 71c | 15,985$11,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,602.53 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +9.7wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Nuggets | 29c | 14,600$4,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,289 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Thunder | 70c | 14,323$10,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,296.78 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Thunder | 74c | 14,304$10,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,742.09 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…730dbacked Thunder | 72c | 14,223$10,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,982.54 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Nuggets | 14c | 13,948$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.86 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Nuggets | 31c | 13,490$4,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,143.48 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Nuggets | 29c | 13,000$3,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,770 | 221 | 37.6%83 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Nuggets | 27c | 12,979$3,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,518.21 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Thunder | 72c | 12,681$9,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,578.24 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Nuggets | 29c | 12,596$3,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,652.95 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Nuggets | 0c | 12,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Thunder | 79c | 11,800$9,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.89 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Nuggets | 19c | 11,784$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.88 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Nuggets | 10c | 11,229$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.04 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Nuggets | 40c | 11,113$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Nuggets | 27c | 10,364$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,790.31 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x322d…305fbacked Nuggets | 30c | 10,003$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…232abacked Nuggets | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Thunder | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…8898backed Thunder | 71c | 10,000$7,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.84 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc814…dc7cbacked Thunder | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 73cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac63…7afcbacked Nuggets | 34c | 9,818$3,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,301.82 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Nuggets | 23c | 9,494$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Nuggets | 43c | 9,470$4,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,087.3 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Thunder | 75c | 9,200$6,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325.26 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Thunder | 72c | 9,117$6,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,581.82 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…5fcebacked Nuggets | 13c | 9,000$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Thunder | 70c | 8,915$6,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,643.44 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…3d11backed Nuggets | 19c | 8,878$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.09 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked Thunder | 71c | 8,451$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450.7 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Nuggets | 18c | 8,303$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.95 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Thunder | 77c | 8,264$6,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.29 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +6.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +52%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Thunder | 74c | 8,178$6,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.28 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Nuggets | 23c | 7,908$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.81 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nuggets | 30c | 7,210$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,162.91 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Nuggets | 30c | 6,667$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…e8cbbacked Nuggets | 1c | 6,016$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.51 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 8cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Thunder | 41c | 6,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520.08 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Thunder | 70c | 6,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…b8adbacked Thunder | 70c | 5,726$4,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…df44backed Thunder | 56c | 5,721$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,521.09 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 51c | 5,558$2,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750.77 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Thunder | 71c | 5,372$3,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.88 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Nuggets | 24c | 5,202$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.2 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…c084backed Thunder | 70c | 5,186$3,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.81 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Thunder | 37c | 5,100$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,213 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nuggets | 30c | 5,050$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.96 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Thunder | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nuggets | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…ae12backed Nuggets | 31c | 5,000$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…1390backed Nuggets | 29c | 4,979$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.05 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +63%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…e5aabacked Nuggets | 42c | 4,768$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…af0abacked Nuggets | 40c | 4,535$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.54 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Nuggets | 30c | 4,521$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.82 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nuggets | 28c | 4,482$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.94 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e44…e83fbacked Nuggets | 24c | 4,167$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Thunder | 51c | 4,096$2,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.8 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Thunder | 56c | 3,564$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.47 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Thunder | 70c | 3,500$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.99 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Nuggets | 2c | 3,352$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Thunder | 55c | 3,248$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.4 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…3b0cbacked Nuggets | 31c | 3,214$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcad…5078backed Nuggets | 40c | 3,140$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.81 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf935…51abbacked Nuggets | 30c | 3,075$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 30cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…5d9ebacked Thunder | 56c | 3,040$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.65 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nuggets | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Nuggets | 22c | 2,963$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.41 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Nuggets | 4c | 2,615$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.6 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…387abacked Nuggets | 8c | 2,610$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.92 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2f…59b1backed Nuggets | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcb…a331backed Nuggets | 31c | 2,463$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.51 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Nuggets | 3c | 2,361$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Nuggets | 26c | 2,300$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Thunder | 71c | 2,268$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.79 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f8…ee2dbacked Nuggets | 26c | 2,130$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…6a2cbacked Nuggets | 34c | 2,126$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1119…7d62backed Nuggets | 30c | 2,112$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Nuggetsthis page
- Over 227.5Under won
- Over 228.5Under won
- Over 229.5Under won
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Underdog won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Favorite won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Underdog won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Underdog won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Underdog won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.