Fifa International · resolved market
Will the England beat Greece?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0dcf4a32afadd94302dee4f4dfb4d34a9543592aa9f77fe4db7fcfd97d5c9bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 28c | 2,019$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.67 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 50c | 1,761$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.5 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…b9cfbacked No | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00dc…a8cdbacked Yes | 79c | 312.43$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 68c | 250$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b50…be35backed Yes | 79c | 208.84$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed No | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 76c | 149.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1673…e40dbacked Yes | 78c | 64.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 68c | 63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 25c | 59.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 26c | 48.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cb…378abacked Yes | 77c | 40.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…bcb9backed Yes | 79c | 29.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…017ebacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2081…73b9backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…5be6backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Yes | 77c | 23.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…4ad7backed Yes | 77c | 22.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66db…7afbbacked Yes | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…fad6backed Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x735c…68c7backed Yes | 76c | 15.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the England beat Greece?this page
- Will Greece beat England?Yes won
- Will the match between England and Greece end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.