Fifa International · resolved market
Will Greece beat England?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2112c3669135da79d0721a748ada35ad29c1df67bfc53a3939c196cb740d6f87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 6c | 6,442$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,055.31 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 56c | 641.58$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.35 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe338…5760backed No | 13c | 490$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27e…1961backed Yes | 63c | 476.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.47 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…b9cfbacked Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8e…73a3backed Yes | 10c | 336.84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +881.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Yes | 58c | 211.86$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.98 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 57c | 210$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 20c | 207.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.53 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7957…2148backed Yes | 76c | 122.57$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes | 13c | 112.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed No | 51c | 41.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dba…7472backed Yes | 75c | 36.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Greece beat England?this page
- Will the England beat Greece?No won
- Will the match between England and Greece end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.