NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c564707802bbdeee387bb106f01224bd33797e38499615ae0deaac9c2d59b75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Pistons, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $277,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $254,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $277,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x260a…dbf6backed Pistons | 0c | 30,056$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Pistons | 1c | 11,340$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.67 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a00…ed53backed Pistons | 0c | 10,497$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d9…b34fbacked Pistons | 0c | 10,267$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Pistons | 5c | 9,665$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.25 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pistons | 11c | 8,338$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.22 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pistons | 12c | 7,549$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.6 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Pistons | 13c | 7,335$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.59 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Pistons | 1c | 5,203$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pistons | 11c | 5,000$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.61 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Pistons | 7c | 4,724$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.31 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbba7…2629backed Pistons | 10c | 4,648$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.8 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Pistons | 10c | 4,425$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.49 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…a960backed Pistons | 10c | 4,344$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pistons | 5c | 3,981$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.2 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa715…15e2backed Pistons | 1c | 3,907$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Pistons | 2c | 3,700$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Pistons | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34e…895ebacked Pistons | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Pistons | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked Pistons | 4c | 2,873$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.32 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Pistons | 0c | 2,653$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Pistons | 10c | 2,555$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.17 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ca…77eebacked Pistons | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Pistons | 12c | 2,498$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.71 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed Pistons | 11c | 2,018$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d3…6747backed Pistons | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Pistons | 8c | 1,969$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.17 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pistons | 11c | 1,865$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.48 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Pistons | 8c | 1,713$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.84 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Pistons | 11c | 1,700$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Pistons | 3c | 1,670$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f0…974dbacked Pistons | 12c | 1,669$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 12c | 1,615$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.75 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Pistons | 11c | 1,400$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Pistons | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b3…fd35backed Pistons | 10c | 1,100$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Pistons | 2c | 1,072$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Pistons | 2c | 1,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Pistons | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfb…deb3backed Pistons | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc70…f080backed Pistons | 11c | 818.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons | 5c | 783.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…2748backed Pistons | 12c | 770.23$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Pistons | 11c | 596$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pistons | 15c | 516.77$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.68 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Pistons | 7c | 455.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b61…78e8backed Pistons | 3c | 450.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Pistons | 4c | 447.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a0…36d2backed Pistons | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Pistons | 12c | 399.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeeb…ae35backed Pistons | 10c | 399.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Pistons | 11c | 384.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66db…7afbbacked Pistons | 11c | 372.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Pistons | 10c | 333$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x937b…833fbacked Pistons | 11c | 328.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7caa…8872backed Pistons | 11c | 308.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…7ff3backed Pistons | 11c | 276.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203f…8e77backed Pistons | 14c | 274.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pistons | 9c | 272.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4d…c898backed Pistons | 13c | 270.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Pistons | 16c | 243.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Pistons | 10c | 239.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 269 | 33.5%90 W · 179 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60fb…ca7abacked Pistons | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Pistons | 8c | 201.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Pistons | 11c | 200.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Pistons | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…3012backed Pistons | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ef…7ecbbacked Pistons | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a7…2261backed Pistons | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Pistons | 7c | 176.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 173 | 26.6%46 W · 127 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…16fbbacked Pistons | 13c | 145$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 178 | 46.1%82 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe555…782fbacked Pistons | 12c | 137.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked Pistons | 14c | 128.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x734d…83c7backed Pistons | 48c | 123$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8577backed Celtics | 52c | 123$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d2…0d35backed Pistons | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…7a62backed Pistons | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Pistons | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…9279backed Pistons | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Pistons | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 276 | 42%116 W · 160 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb057…010abacked Pistons | 11c | 99.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…4eacbacked Pistons | 11c | 92.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc252…5bb4backed Pistons | 13c | 90.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934e…dc5fbacked Pistons | 31c | 63.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f4…e078backed Celtics | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c8…9939backed Pistons | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…113dbacked Celtics | 68c | 52.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e54…e520backed Pistons | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51d1…bdf8backed Celtics | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.