TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x92cf…7a62

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
31
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NHL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$14.85
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.9
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+35.1%+$22.1
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+44.9%+$9.3
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.75
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$14.85
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+47.1%+$14.4
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST-100%-$61
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST-100%-$10.5
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST-100%-$11.55
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST-100%-$12
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST-100%-$45.6
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST+78.6%+$30.8
Bucks vs. Pistonsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+56.3%+$39.38
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+163.2%+$40.79
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$50
All 19 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yale Bulldogs vs. Cornell Big Redbacked Cornell Big Red · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+163.2%+$30.74
George Mason Patriots vs. George Washington Revolutionariesbacked George Mason Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Royals vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.1
Athletics vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bengals vs. Broncosbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.